Buffalo Bills
6–1 · Beat the Ravens 36–10, Nov 1
Next: at the Vikings, Mon, Nov 9 · analysis
Best by position: quarterbacks · running backs · receivers · tight ends
Josh Allen tied Ben Roethlisberger for 5th in wins through the first 150 starts of an NFL quarterback's career, playoffs included, 101.
- The 2nd-most rushing TDs of 32 teams this season, 16 (2.3 a game).
- The 5th-most rushing yards of 32 teams this season, 1,042 (148.9 a game).
- Josh Allentied Ben Roethlisberger for 5th through the first 150 starts of an NFL quarterback's career, playoffs included, and 5 moreNov 1, 2026 · vs
101wins
Against the closing line
The Bills have beaten the line in 2 of their last 4, by 4.3 points a game. Over the season they’re 3.7 a game over, 7th of 32.
last 4
+4.3
before
+3.0
-1001020
Oct 4, 2026 vs Patriots −10.0
Oct 12, 2026 @ Rams +6.5
Oct 18, 2026 @ Raiders −2.5- Nov 1, 2026 vs Ravens +23.0
Lately
- Won 8 of their last 10count
Jan 4, 2026 vs Jets +27
Jan 11, 2026 @ Jaguars +3
Jan 17, 2026 @ Broncos −3
Sep 13 @ Texans +5
Sep 17 vs Lions +10
Sep 27 vs Chargers +8- Oct 4 vs Patriots −3
- Oct 12 @ Rams +3
- Oct 18 @ Raiders +3
- Nov 1 vs Ravens +26
- Covered 7 of their last 10count
- Jan 4, 2026 vs Jets +14.5
- Jan 11, 2026 @ Jaguars +4.5
- Jan 17, 2026 @ Broncos −1.5
- Sep 13 @ Texans +3.5
- Sep 17 vs Lions +4.5
- Sep 27 vs Chargers +1
- Oct 4 vs Patriots −10
- Oct 12 @ Rams +6.5
- Oct 18 @ Raiders −2.5
- Nov 1 vs Ravens +23
- Won 7 of their last 10 at homecount
- Oct 5, 2025 vs Patriots −3
Nov 2, 2025 vs Chiefs +7
Nov 16, 2025 vs Buccaneers +12
Dec 7, 2025 vs Bengals +5
Dec 28, 2025 vs Eagles −1- Jan 4, 2026 vs Jets +27
- Sep 17 vs Lions +10
- Sep 27 vs Chargers +8
- Oct 4 vs Patriots −3
- Nov 1 vs Ravens +26
- Won 7 of their last 10 on the roadcount
Nov 9, 2025 @ Dolphins −17- Nov 20, 2025 @ Texans −4
Nov 30, 2025 @ Steelers +19- Dec 14, 2025 @ Patriots +4
Dec 21, 2025 @ Browns +3- Jan 11, 2026 @ Jaguars +3
- Jan 17, 2026 @ Broncos −3
- Sep 13 @ Texans +5
- Oct 12 @ Rams +3
- Oct 18 @ Raiders +3
Against expected,
| a game | offense | defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points | +10.2 · 1st | +2.8 · 25th |
| Total yards | +58 · 3rd | +13 · 20th |
| Passing yards | +22 · 9th | +28 · 26th |
| Rushing yards | +37 · 3rd | −16 · 8th |
| Touchdowns | +1.4 · 1st | +0.6 · 26th |
| Yards an attempt | +1.8 · 1st | −0.6 · 10th |
| Turnovers | +0.3 · 25th | 0.0 · 18th |
| Sacks | −0.5 · 10th | −0.1 · 20th |
Over (+) or under (−) what their opponents usually allow, a game, and where that stands among 32 teams, the best first. Lit is the top three or the bottom three.
Method
- Against the line is each game’s points of margin less what the closing line expected, from nflverse’s schedules. A game nobody lined sits out, and a push hasn’t beaten it. Lately is the last 4 games with one.
- Against expected is each game against what the opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers on offense are the ones it lost, and on defense the ones it forced. Sacks on offense are the ones its quarterbacks took.