Putting Up Numbers· NFL

Chargers @ Ravens

Mon, Nov 16 · M&T Bank Stadium

The line has it Ravens 20, Chargers 18.Ravens −1.5, total 37.5, as of Nov 6. A line moves until kickoff. From nflverse’s schedule file, which doesn’t name a book.

Chargers at Ravens: against expected, a game, this season, All games
a gameChargers7 gamesRavens9 games
−9.3−2.3
+1.4+2.9
−35−10
−21−3
−34−28
−2+24
−0.5+0.2
+1.0+0.3
+1.10.0
+0.3−0.3

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game. Lit is among the five biggest either way. Tap a row for the games.

Analysis

What’s true going in. Each line says how it stood up; you judge.

Ravens

  • The Ravens have failed to cover 4 straight, the longest active streak without a cover in the NFL.streakthe runs →
  • The Ravens have lost 4 straight.streakthe runs →
  • The Ravens are 6.4 points a game under the closing line this season, 30th of 32, and 9.7 worse at home than away over their last 35, 32nd of 32.fact · rankedits form →

Chargers

  • The Chargers have lost 10 straight, the longest active losing streak in the NFL.streakthe runs →
  • The Chargers are 8.5 points a game under the closing line this season, 32nd of 32.fact · rankedits form →

The series

  • The Ravens lead the series 10–6 since 1997. The Ravens have won the last 3.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • The Ravens are 1–3–1 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →
  • Since Lamar Jackson’s last game, the Ravens’ passing yards are 63.4 under expected in 5 games. A −103.2 difference in passing yards over expected since Lamar Jackson’s last game vs with Lamar Jackson is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were since Lamar Jackson’s last game and it comes up 15 times in 100.thinwithout him →
  • Without Zay Flowers, the Ravens’ carries are 6.2 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
  • Without Tyler Huntley, the Ravens’ pass attempts are 5.9 under expected in 6 games. A −6.9 difference in pass attempts over expected without Tyler Huntley vs with Tyler Huntley is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were without Tyler Huntley and it comes up 6 times in 100.thinwithout him →
  • The Chargers have failed to cover 9 of their last 10.countits form →
  • The Chargers are 0–4–1 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →
  • Without Ladd McConkey, the Chargers’ passing yards are 113.5 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
  • Without Tre Harris, the Chargers’ points are 14.2 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
  • Since Derwin James’ last game, the Chargers’ sacks taken are 1.3 over expected in 4 games. A +1.2 difference in sacks taken over expected since Derwin James’ last game vs with Derwin James is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were since Derwin James’ last game and it comes up 18 times in 100.thinwithout him →

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Nov 25, 2024at ChargersRavens 30, Chargers 23
Nov 26, 2023at ChargersRavens 20, Chargers 10
Oct 17, 2021at RavensRavens 34, Chargers 6
Jan 6, 2019at RavensChargers 23, Ravens 17
Dec 22, 2018at ChargersRavens 22, Chargers 10
Nov 1, 2015at RavensRavens 29, Chargers 26
Nov 30, 2014at RavensChargers 34, Ravens 33
Nov 25, 2012at ChargersRavens 16, Chargers 13
Dec 18, 2011at ChargersChargers 34, Ravens 14
Sep 20, 2009at ChargersRavens 31, Chargers 26

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • A game with no box score sits out.