49ers @ Falcons

Sun, Oct 25, 2026

Falcons 29, 49ers 20The 49ers were favored by 2.5, and the Falcons covered.

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

The Falcons were 0.3 points a game over the closing line this season, 15th of 32, and 6.7 worse at home than away over their last 35, 31st of 32.fact · rankedits form →+11.5 against the line this game.

The 49ers had won 6 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.
The 49ers had won 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
The 49ers were 7.2 points a game over the closing line this season, 1st of 32.fact · rankedits form →−11.5 against the line this game.

The 49ers lead the series 49–34–1 since 1966. The Falcons have won 3 straight at home in the series.seriesevery meeting →

The Falcons were 2–3 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →Covered.
At home, the Falcons' turnovers were 1.7 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.3 under expected.
The 49ers had won 7 of their last 10 on the road.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
The 49ers were 2–2 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
On the road, the 49ers' turnovers were 1.7 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.8 over expected.

Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
“This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 24, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
A game with no box score sits out.