Raiders @ 49ers

Sun, Nov 8 · Levi's Stadium

The line has it 49ers 31, Raiders 21.49ers −10, total 52.5, as of Nov 4. A line moves until kickoff. From nflverse’s schedule file, which doesn’t name a book.

Raiders at 49ers: against expected, a game, this season, All games
a game	Raiders8 games	49ers7 games
	+4.6	+5.0
	+6.1	−2.9
	+4	+34
	+47	−30
	+38	+16
	−36	+15
	+0.4	+1.6
	−0.9	−1.3
	−0.3	+0.2
	+0.3	−0.3

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game. Lit is among the five biggest either way. Tap a row for the games.

Analysis

What’s true going in. Each line says how it stood up; you judge.

49ers

The 49ers have won 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →
The 49ers are 4.5 points a game over the closing line this season, 5th of 32.fact · rankedits form →

Raiders

The Raiders are 2.1 points a game over the closing line this season, 10th of 32.fact · rankedits form →

The series

The 49ers lead the series 8–7 since 1970. The 49ers have won the last 2. The 49ers have won 3 straight at home in the series.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

The 49ers have won 7 of their last 10.countits form →
The 49ers are 2–3 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →
Since Mike Evans’ last game, the 49ers' turnovers are 2.8 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
Since Deebo Samuel Sr.’s last game, the 49ers' turnovers are 1.2 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
At home, the 49ers' sacks taken are 1.6 under expected in 4 games. A −2.2 difference in sacks taken over expected at home vs away is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up 13 times in 100.thinthe split →
The Raiders have covered 7 of their last 10.countits form →
The Raiders are 5–2 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →
Without Brock Bowers, the Raiders' points allowed are 10.1 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →

Every meeting

Date	Where	Score
Jan 1, 2023	at Raiders	49ers 37, Raiders 34
Nov 1, 2018	at 49ers	49ers 34, Raiders 3
Dec 7, 2014	at Raiders	Raiders 24, 49ers 13
Oct 17, 2010	at 49ers	49ers 17, Raiders 9
Oct 8, 2006	at 49ers	49ers 34, Raiders 20
Nov 3, 2002	at Raiders	49ers 23, Raiders 20
Oct 8, 2000	at 49ers	Raiders 34, 49ers 28
Sep 5, 1994	at 49ers	49ers 44, Raiders 14
Sep 29, 1991	at Raiders	Raiders 12, 49ers 6
Nov 13, 1988	at 49ers	Raiders 9, 49ers 3

Method

Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
A game with no box score sits out.