Atlanta Falcons
3–5 · Lost to the Buccaneers 16–0, Nov 1
Next: vs the Bengals, Sun, Nov 8 · analysis
Best by position: quarterbacks · running backs · receivers · tight ends
- The 3rd-most rushing yards of 32 teams this season, 1,085 (135.6 a game).
- Tied for the 10th-most rushing TDs of 32 teams this season, 8 (1.0 a game).
Against the closing line
The Falcons have beaten the line in 1 of their last 4, 4.8 points a game under it. Over the season they’re 0.0 a game over, 15th of 32.
last 4
−4.8
before
+4.8
-20020
Oct 11, 2026 vs Ravens −10.5
Oct 18, 2026 vs Bears −6.5
Oct 25, 2026 vs 49ers +11.5
Nov 1, 2026 @ Buccaneers −13.5
Lately
- Failed to cover 6 of their last 10count
Dec 29, 2025 vs Rams +10.5
Jan 4, 2026 vs Saints −2.5
Sep 13 @ Steelers −0.5
Sep 20 vs Panthers −28.5
Sep 24 @ Packers +25.5- Oct 5 @ Saints +22.5
- Oct 11 vs Ravens −10.5
- Oct 18 vs Bears −6.5
- Oct 25 vs 49ers +11.5
- Nov 1 @ Buccaneers −13.5
- Covered 6 of their last 10 on the roadcount
- Oct 19, 2025 @ 49ers −8.5
Nov 2, 2025 @ Patriots +4.5- Nov 23, 2025 @ Saints +15.5
Nov 30, 2025 @ Jets −6- Dec 11, 2025 @ Buccaneers +7
Dec 21, 2025 @ Cardinals +4.5- Sep 13 @ Steelers −0.5
- Sep 24 @ Packers +25.5
- Oct 5 @ Saints +22.5
- Nov 1 @ Buccaneers −13.5
- Won 5 of their last 10count
- Dec 29, 2025 vs Rams +3
- Jan 4, 2026 vs Saints +2
- Sep 13 @ Steelers −7
- Sep 20 vs Panthers −31
- Sep 24 @ Packers +21
- Oct 5 @ Saints +21
- Oct 11 vs Ravens −7
- Oct 18 vs Bears −8
- Oct 25 vs 49ers +9
- Nov 1 @ Buccaneers −16
Against expected,
| a game | offense | defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points | −1.6 · 23rd | +0.3 · 16th |
| Total yards | −9 · 22nd | +5 · 18th |
| Passing yards | −33 · 24th | +1 · 17th |
| Rushing yards | +24 · 4th | +3 · 18th |
| Touchdowns | −0.2 · 19th | −0.1 · 14th |
| Yards an attempt | +0.2 · 15th | −1.3 · 2nd |
| Turnovers | +0.8 · 31st | 0.0 · 20th |
| Sacks | −0.3 · 12th | −0.1 · 18th |
Over (+) or under (−) what their opponents usually allow, a game, and where that stands among 32 teams, the best first. Lit is the top three or the bottom three.
Method
- Against the line is each game’s points of margin less what the closing line expected, from nflverse’s schedules. A game nobody lined sits out, and a push hasn’t beaten it. Lately is the last 4 games with one.
- Against expected is each game against what the opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers on offense are the ones it lost, and on defense the ones it forced. Sacks on offense are the ones its quarterbacks took.