Dolphins @
Jets
Dolphins 28, Jets 25The Jets were favored by 3.5, and the Dolphins covered.
| a game | Dolphins1 game | Jets1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | +5.1 | +1.4 |
| Points allowed | +2.4 | +7.3 |
| Total offense, yards | +23 | +50 |
| Total defense, yards | +51 | +40 |
| Passing yards | −25 | +53 |
| Rushing yards | +42 | −5 |
| Yards an attempt | +2.9 | +2.1 |
| Sacks taken | −0.3 | −0.2 |
| Turnovers | −1.3 | −0.4 |
| Turnovers forced | −0.1 | −1.3 |
Who put up numbers
Jets
- Passing yardsGeno Smith287 passing yards
- Passing TDsGeno Smith3 passing TDs
- Rushing yardsBraelon Allen104 rushing yards
Dolphins
Analysis
Jets
- The Jets were 1.8 points a game over the closing line this season, 10th of 32.fact · rankedits form →−6.5 against the line this game.
Dolphins
- The Dolphins had lost 6 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.
- The Dolphins were 3.9 points a game under the closing line this season, 29th of 32.fact · rankedits form →+6.5 against the line this game.
The series
- The Dolphins lead the series 64–57–1 since 1966. The Dolphins have won the last 3.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- The Jets had lost 8 of their last 10.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
- At home, the Jets' sacks taken were 1.7 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.3 under expected.
- Against a division opponent, the Jets' passing yards were 26.7 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 75.5 over expected.
- The Dolphins were 1–3–1 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →Covered.
- On the road, the Dolphins' pass attempts were 8.3 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 8.6 under expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | at Jets | Dolphins 28, Jets 25 |
| Dec 7, 2025 | at Jets | Dolphins 34, Jets 10 |
| Sep 29, 2025 | at Dolphins | Dolphins 27, Jets 21 |
| Jan 5, 2025 | at Jets | Jets 32, Dolphins 20 |
| Dec 8, 2024 | at Dolphins | Dolphins 32, Jets 26 |
| Dec 17, 2023 | at Dolphins | Dolphins 30, Jets 0 |
| Nov 24, 2023 | at Jets | Dolphins 34, Jets 13 |
| Jan 8, 2023 | at Dolphins | Dolphins 11, Jets 6 |
| Oct 9, 2022 | at Jets | Jets 40, Dolphins 17 |
| Dec 19, 2021 | at Dolphins | Dolphins 31, Jets 24 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 24, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- A game with no box score sits out.