Jets @ Chiefs

Sun, Nov 8 · GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium

The line has it Chiefs 29, Jets 19.Chiefs −10, total 47.5, as of Nov 4. A line moves until kickoff. From nflverse’s schedule file, which doesn’t name a book.

Jets at Chiefs: against expected, a game, this season, All games
a game	Jets8 games	Chiefs7 games
	−1.9	+0.6
	+0.6	−3.8
	−5	+43
	−17	−7
	+5	+23
	−8	+18
	+0.9	+0.7
	+0.6	−1.0
	−0.5	−0.5
	−0.4	+0.1

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game. Lit is among the five biggest either way. Tap a row for the games.

Analysis

What’s true going in. Each line says how it stood up; you judge.

Chiefs

The Chiefs' carries are 7.7 higher at home than away against expected over their last 35 games, 1st of 32 teams.fact · rankedthe split →
The Chiefs are 1.4 points a game over the closing line this season, 12th of 32, and 8.1 better at home than away over their last 35, 4th of 32.fact · rankedits form →

Jets

The Jets are 0.3 points a game under the closing line this season, 17th of 32.fact · rankedits form →

The series

The Chiefs lead the series 15–13–1 since 1966. The Chiefs have won the last 2. The Chiefs have won 4 straight at home in the series.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

The Chiefs have won 7 of their last 10 at home.countits form →
The Chiefs are 3–2 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →
Since L'Jarius Sneed’s last game, the Chiefs' passing yards are 79.7 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
At home, the Chiefs' rushing yards are 55.9 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
The Jets have lost 8 of their last 10.countits form →
The Jets are 3–1–1 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →
Without Mason Taylor, the Jets' carries are 9.5 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →

Every meeting

Date	Where	Score
Oct 1, 2023	at Jets	Chiefs 23, Jets 20
Nov 1, 2020	at Chiefs	Chiefs 35, Jets 9
Dec 3, 2017	at Jets	Jets 38, Chiefs 31
Sep 25, 2016	at Chiefs	Chiefs 24, Jets 3
Nov 2, 2014	at Chiefs	Chiefs 24, Jets 10
Dec 11, 2011	at Jets	Jets 37, Chiefs 10
Oct 26, 2008	at Jets	Jets 28, Chiefs 24
Dec 30, 2007	at Jets	Jets 13, Chiefs 10
Sep 11, 2005	at Chiefs	Chiefs 27, Jets 7
Oct 6, 2002	at Jets	Chiefs 29, Jets 25

Method

Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
A game with no box score sits out.