Lions @ Dolphins

Sun, Nov 8 · Hard Rock Stadium

The line has it Lions 29, Dolphins 22.Lions −7, total 50.5, as of Nov 4. A line moves until kickoff. From nflverse’s schedule file, which doesn’t name a book.

Lions at Dolphins: against expected, a game, this season, All games
a game	Lions7 games	Dolphins7 games
	+5.9	−6.1
	+2.6	+2.4
	+67	−42
	+50	−9
	+47	−53
	+17	+11
	+0.9	−0.1
	0.0	+0.7
	−0.6	0.0
	−0.3	−0.4

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game. Lit is among the five biggest either way. Tap a row for the games.

Analysis

What’s true going in. Each line says how it stood up; you judge.

Dolphins

The Dolphins are 1.6 points a game under the closing line this season, 23rd of 32.fact · rankedits form →

Lions

The Lions have won 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →
The Lions are 0.3 points a game under the closing line this season, 16th of 32.fact · rankedits form →

The series

The Dolphins lead the series 8–5 since 1973.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

The Dolphins have lost 8 of their last 10.countits form →
The Dolphins are 3–3–1 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →
Without Jaylen Wright, the Dolphins' sacks taken are 2.3 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
At home, the Dolphins' turnovers are 0.7 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
The Lions are 2–3–1 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →
On the road, the Lions' passing yards are 88.1 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →

Every meeting

Date	Where	Score
Oct 30, 2022	at Lions	Dolphins 31, Lions 27
Oct 21, 2018	at Dolphins	Lions 32, Dolphins 21
Nov 9, 2014	at Lions	Lions 20, Dolphins 16
Dec 26, 2010	at Dolphins	Lions 34, Dolphins 27
Nov 23, 2006	at Lions	Dolphins 27, Lions 10
Sep 8, 2002	at Dolphins	Dolphins 49, Lions 21
Nov 5, 2000	at Lions	Dolphins 23, Lions 8
Dec 7, 1997	at Dolphins	Dolphins 33, Lions 30
Dec 25, 1994	at Dolphins	Dolphins 27, Lions 20
Sep 15, 1991	at Lions	Lions 17, Dolphins 13

Method

Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
A game with no box score sits out.