Miami Dolphins
1–6 · Lost to the Patriots 24–19, Nov 1
Next: vs the Lions, Sun, Nov 8 · analysis
Best by position: quarterbacks · running backs · receivers · tight ends
Against the closing line
The Dolphins have beaten the line in 3 of their last 4, by 3.4 points a game. Over the season they’re 1.6 a game under, 23rd of 32.
last 4
+3.4
before
−8.2
-10-505
Oct 4, 2026 @ Vikings +5.0
Oct 11, 2026 vs Bengals 0.0
Oct 25, 2026 @ Jets +6.5
Nov 1, 2026 vs Patriots +2.0
Lately
- Lost 8 of their last 10count
- Dec 21, 2025 vs Bengals −24
Dec 28, 2025 vs Buccaneers +3- Jan 4, 2026 @ Patriots −28
Sep 13 @ Raiders −14
Sep 20 @ 49ers −22
Sep 27 vs Chiefs −14- Oct 4 @ Vikings −5
- Oct 11 vs Bengals −7
- Oct 25 @ Jets +3
- Nov 1 vs Patriots −5
- Failed to cover 5 of their last 10count
- Dec 21, 2025 vs Bengals −20.5
- Dec 28, 2025 vs Buccaneers +8.5
- Jan 4, 2026 @ Patriots −14
- Sep 13 @ Raiders −11
- Sep 20 @ 49ers −9.5
- Sep 27 vs Chiefs −4
- Oct 4 @ Vikings +5
- Oct 11 vs Bengals 0
- Oct 25 @ Jets +6.5
- Nov 1 vs Patriots +2
- Covered 5 of their last 10 at homecount
- Sep 29, 2025 vs Jets +3.5
Oct 12, 2025 vs Chargers +1.5
Oct 30, 2025 vs Ravens −14.5
Nov 9, 2025 vs Bills +25.5
Nov 30, 2025 vs Saints −1.5- Dec 21, 2025 vs Bengals −20.5
- Dec 28, 2025 vs Buccaneers +8.5
- Sep 27 vs Chiefs −4
- Oct 11 vs Bengals 0
- Nov 1 vs Patriots +2
Against expected,
| a game | offense | defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points | −6.1 · 30th | +2.4 · 23rd |
| Total yards | −42 · 28th | −9 · 13th |
| Passing yards | −53 · 31st | −13 · 9th |
| Rushing yards | +11 · 12th | +2 · 17th |
| Touchdowns | −0.5 · 27th | +0.5 · 24th |
| Yards an attempt | −0.1 · 19th | +1.2 · 31st |
| Turnovers | 0.0 · 15th | −0.4 · 27th |
| Sacks | +0.7 · 27th | −0.9 · 29th |
Over (+) or under (−) what their opponents usually allow, a game, and where that stands among 32 teams, the best first. Lit is the top three or the bottom three.
Method
- Against the line is each game’s points of margin less what the closing line expected, from nflverse’s schedules. A game nobody lined sits out, and a push hasn’t beaten it. Lately is the last 4 games with one.
- Against expected is each game against what the opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers on offense are the ones it lost, and on defense the ones it forced. Sacks on offense are the ones its quarterbacks took.