Putting Up Numbers· NFL

Commanders @ 49ers

Mon, Oct 19, 2026

49ers 23, Commanders 17The 49ers were favored by 7.5, and the Commanders covered.

Commanders at 49ers: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameCommanders1 game49ers1 game
Points−5.5−0.7
Points allowed−1.8−6.1
Total offense, yards+17+41
Total defense, yards+31+11
Passing yards+67+29
Rushing yards−56+16
Yards an attempt+0.6+2.0
Sacks taken+1.7−0.3
Turnovers−1.3−0.2
Turnovers forced−0.3−1.1

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

49ers

Commanders

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

49ers

  • The 49ers had won 5 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 6.
  • The 49ers were 8.9 points a game over the closing line this season, 1st of 32.fact · rankedits form →−1.5 against the line this game.

Commanders

  • The Commanders were 3.0 points a game under the closing line this season, 27th of 32.fact · rankedits form →+1.5 against the line this game.

The series

  • The 49ers lead the series 21–11–1 since 1967. The 49ers have won the last 3. The 49ers have won 4 straight at home in the series.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • The 49ers had covered 7 of their last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • The 49ers had won 7 of their last 10 at home.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • At home, the 49ers' sacks taken were 2.2 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.1 over expected.
  • The Commanders were 2–2 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →Covered.
  • On the road, the Commanders' sacks taken were 1.8 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.7 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 19, 2026at 49ers49ers 23, Commanders 17
Dec 31, 2023at Commanders49ers 27, Commanders 10
Dec 24, 2022at 49ers49ers 37, Commanders 20
Dec 13, 2020neutralCommanders 23, 49ers 15
Oct 20, 2019at Commanders49ers 9, Commanders 0
Oct 15, 2017at CommandersCommanders 26, 49ers 24
Nov 23, 2014at 49ers49ers 17, Commanders 13
Nov 25, 2013at Commanders49ers 27, Commanders 6
Nov 6, 2011at Commanders49ers 19, Commanders 11
Dec 28, 2008at 49ers49ers 27, Commanders 24

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 18, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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