Washington Commanders
2–4–1 · Beat the Eagles 27–10, Nov 1
Next: vs the Rams, Sun, Nov 8 · analysis
Best by position: quarterbacks · running backs · receivers · tight ends
Against the closing line
The Commanders have beaten the line in 2 of their last 4, 0.9 points a game under it. Over the season they’re 0.4 a game under, 18th of 32.
last 4
−0.9
before
+0.3
-10010
Oct 4, 2026 vs Colts −12.5
Oct 11, 2026 vs Giants −3.5
Oct 19, 2026 @ 49ers +1.5
Nov 1, 2026 vs Eagles +11.0
Lately
- Covered 6 of their last 10count
- Dec 20, 2025 vs Eagles −4
Dec 25, 2025 vs Cowboys +1.5- Jan 4, 2026 @ Eagles +10
- Sep 13 @ Eagles +4
- Sep 20 @ Cowboys −13.5
Sep 27 vs Seahawks +10.5- Oct 4 vs Colts −12.5
- Oct 11 vs Giants −3.5
- Oct 19 @ 49ers +1.5
- Nov 1 vs Eagles +11
- Lost 6 of their last 10count
- Dec 20, 2025 vs Eagles −11
- Dec 25, 2025 vs Cowboys −7
- Jan 4, 2026 @ Eagles +7
- Sep 13 @ Eagles −2
- Sep 20 @ Cowboys −17
- Sep 27 vs Seahawks +2
- Oct 4 vs Colts −17
- Oct 11 vs Giants 0
- Oct 19 @ 49ers −6
- Nov 1 vs Eagles +17
- Covered 5 of their last 10 at homecount
Sep 21, 2025 vs Raiders +14.5
Oct 13, 2025 vs Bears −6.5- Nov 2, 2025 vs Seahawks −21.5
Nov 9, 2025 vs Lions −13.5
Nov 30, 2025 vs Broncos +5.5- Dec 20, 2025 vs Eagles −4
- Dec 25, 2025 vs Cowboys +1.5
- Sep 27 vs Seahawks +10.5
- Oct 11 vs Giants −3.5
- Nov 1 vs Eagles +11
Against expected,
| a game | offense | defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points | −0.5 · 17th | +3.3 · 26th |
| Total yards | −5 · 19th | +21 · 24th |
| Passing yards | −19 · 23rd | +33 · 28th |
| Rushing yards | +12 · 10th | −11 · 12th |
| Touchdowns | −0.2 · 21st | +0.5 · 25th |
| Yards an attempt | −0.5 · 24th | +0.4 · 21st |
| Turnovers | −0.9 · 1st | +0.2 · 11th |
| Sacks | 0.0 · 17th | 0.0 · 17th |
Over (+) or under (−) what their opponents usually allow, a game, and where that stands among 32 teams, the best first. Lit is the top three or the bottom three.
Method
- Against the line is each game’s points of margin less what the closing line expected, from nflverse’s schedules. A game nobody lined sits out, and a push hasn’t beaten it. Lately is the last 4 games with one.
- Against expected is each game against what the opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers on offense are the ones it lost, and on defense the ones it forced. Sacks on offense are the ones its quarterbacks took.