Putting Up Numbers· NFL

Bengals @ Dolphins

Sun, Oct 11, 2026

Bengals 31, Dolphins 24The Bengals were favored by 7, and the game pushed.

Bengals at Dolphins: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameBengals1 gameDolphins1 game
Points+7.7+1.0
Points allowed+2.8+6.5
Total offense, yards−40−4
Total defense, yards+26−57
Passing yards−44−98
Rushing yards+5+105
Yards an attempt−1.7−2.3
Sacks taken−2.2+0.6
Turnovers−0.4+1.8
Turnovers forced+1.8−0.3

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Dolphins

Bengals

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Dolphins

  • The Dolphins had lost 5 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 6.
  • The Dolphins were 4.9 points a game under the closing line this season, 27th of 32.fact · rankedits form →0.0 against the line this game.

Bengals

  • The Bengals were 1.4 points a game over the closing line this season, 13th of 32.fact · rankedits form →0.0 against the line this game.

The series

  • The Dolphins lead the series 18–10 since 1968. The Bengals have won the last 3.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • The Dolphins had failed to cover 7 of their last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • The Dolphins were 1–3 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →A push.
  • At home, the Dolphins' sacks taken were 2.3 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.4 over expected.
  • On the road, the Bengals' points allowed were 5.6 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.1 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 11, 2026at DolphinsBengals 31, Dolphins 24
Dec 21, 2025at DolphinsBengals 45, Dolphins 21
Sep 29, 2022at BengalsBengals 27, Dolphins 15
Dec 6, 2020at DolphinsDolphins 19, Bengals 7
Dec 22, 2019at DolphinsDolphins 38, Bengals 35
Oct 7, 2018at BengalsBengals 27, Dolphins 17
Sep 29, 2016at BengalsBengals 22, Dolphins 7
Oct 31, 2013at DolphinsDolphins 22, Bengals 20
Oct 7, 2012at BengalsDolphins 17, Bengals 13
Oct 31, 2010at BengalsDolphins 22, Bengals 14

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 10, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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