Putting Up Numbers· NFL

Ravens @ Falcons

Sun, Oct 11, 2026

Ravens 30, Falcons 23The Falcons were favored by 3.5, and the Ravens covered.

Ravens at Falcons: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameRavens1 gameFalcons1 game
Points+7.1−0.6
Points allowed+0.3+7.5
Total offense, yards+63+38
Total defense, yards+43+63
Passing yards−33+40
Rushing yards+97−1
Yards an attempt−0.6+0.6
Sacks taken+1.7+0.7
Turnovers−0.3−0.3
Turnovers forced−0.5−0.2

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Falcons

Ravens

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Falcons

  • The Falcons were 4.8 points a game over the closing line this season, 6th of 32, and 5.5 worse at home than away over their last 35, 30th of 32.fact · rankedits form →−10.5 against the line this game.

Ravens

  • The Ravens were 1.5 points a game under the closing line this season, 18th of 32, and 7.4 better away than at home over their last 35, 1st of 32.fact · rankedits form →+10.5 against the line this game.

The series

  • The Ravens lead the series 6–2 since 1999. The Ravens have won the last 4.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • At home, the Falcons' turnovers were 3.7 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.3 under expected.
  • On the road, the Ravens' points were 18.6 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 8.9 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 11, 2026at FalconsRavens 30, Falcons 23
Dec 24, 2022at RavensRavens 17, Falcons 9
Dec 2, 2018at FalconsRavens 26, Falcons 16
Oct 19, 2014at RavensRavens 29, Falcons 7
Nov 11, 2010at FalconsFalcons 26, Ravens 21
Nov 19, 2006at RavensRavens 24, Falcons 10
Nov 3, 2002at FalconsFalcons 20, Ravens 17
Oct 3, 1999at FalconsRavens 19, Falcons 13

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 10, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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