Putting Up Numbers· NFL

Commanders vs Colts

Sun, Oct 4, 2026

Colts 30, Commanders 13The Colts were favored by 4.5, and the Colts covered.

Commanders vs Colts: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameCommanders1 gameColts1 game
Points−11.1+6.6
Points allowed+8.1−10.4
Total offense, yards−18−82
Total defense, yards−63−13
Passing yards−2−92
Rushing yards−17+19
Yards an attempt−1.2−3.1
Sacks taken−0.3−0.3
Turnovers−0.5+0.8
Turnovers forced+0.60.0

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Colts

Commanders

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Colts

  • The Colts were 2.8 points a game under the closing line this season, 21st of 32.fact · rankedits form →+12.5 against the line this game.

Commanders

  • The Commanders were 0.3 points a game over the closing line this season, 16th of 32.fact · rankedits form →−12.5 against the line this game.

The series

If you squint

  • The Colts had lost 9 of their last 10.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • The Commanders had lost 7 of their last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 4, 2026neutralColts 30, Commanders 13
Oct 30, 2022at ColtsCommanders 17, Colts 16
Sep 16, 2018at CommandersColts 21, Commanders 9
Nov 30, 2014at ColtsColts 49, Commanders 27
Oct 17, 2010at CommandersColts 27, Commanders 24
Oct 22, 2006at ColtsColts 36, Commanders 22
Oct 27, 2002at CommandersCommanders 26, Colts 21
Dec 19, 1999at ColtsColts 24, Commanders 21
Oct 27, 1996at CommandersCommanders 31, Colts 16
Oct 23, 1994at ColtsCommanders 41, Colts 27

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 3, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.