Cowboys @ Colts

Sun, Nov 8 · Lucas Oil Stadium

The line has it Cowboys 29, Colts 23.Cowboys −5.5, total 51.5, as of Nov 4. A line moves until kickoff. From nflverse’s schedule file, which doesn’t name a book.

Cowboys at Colts: against expected, a game, this season, All games
a game	Cowboys8 games	Colts8 games
	+4.2	−2.6
	+4.1	+5.0
	+4	−37
	+57	+14
	+22	−41
	−18	+7
	−0.2	−1.5
	−0.9	+0.6
	−0.4	+0.6
	−0.5	−0.7

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game. Lit is among the five biggest either way. Tap a row for the games.

Analysis

What’s true going in. Each line says how it stood up; you judge.

Colts

The Colts have lost 4 straight.streakthe runs →
The Colts are 5.3 points a game under the closing line this season, 29th of 32.fact · rankedits form →

Cowboys

The Cowboys are 2.1 points a game under the closing line this season, 25th of 32.fact · rankedits form →

The series

The Cowboys lead the series 11–6 since 1967.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

The Colts are 3–3 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →
Without Tyler Warren, the Colts' sacks taken are 2.6 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
Without Keenan Allen, the Colts' points of margin are 19.1 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
At home, the Colts' turnovers are 1.4 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
The Cowboys are 2–4 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →
Without P.J. Locke, the Cowboys' pass attempts are 6.7 over expected in 5 games. A +9.8 difference in pass attempts over expected without P.J. Locke vs with P.J. Locke is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were without P.J. Locke and it comes up 16 times in 100.thinwithout him →

Every meeting

Date	Where	Score
Dec 4, 2022	at Cowboys	Cowboys 54, Colts 19
Dec 16, 2018	at Colts	Colts 23, Cowboys 0
Dec 21, 2014	at Cowboys	Cowboys 42, Colts 7
Dec 5, 2010	at Colts	Cowboys 38, Colts 35
Nov 19, 2006	at Cowboys	Cowboys 21, Colts 14
Nov 17, 2002	at Colts	Colts 20, Cowboys 3
Oct 31, 1999	at Colts	Colts 34, Cowboys 24
Sep 15, 1996	at Cowboys	Colts 25, Cowboys 24
Oct 10, 1993	at Colts	Cowboys 27, Colts 3
Oct 28, 1984	at Cowboys	Cowboys 22, Colts 3

Method

Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
A game with no box score sits out.