Putting Up Numbers· NFL

Chargers @ Bills

Sun, Sep 27, 2026

Bills 24, Chargers 16The Bills were favored by 7, and the Bills covered.

Chargers at Bills: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameChargers1 gameBills1 game
Points−7.7+0.5
Points allowed−2.3−4.5
Total offense, yards+6+38
Total defense, yards+7+29
Passing yards−9−29
Rushing yards+23+62
Yards an attempt−0.4+0.7
Sacks taken−0.3+1.8
Turnovers−0.2+3.7
Turnovers forced+3.8−0.6

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Bills

Chargers

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Chargers

  • The Chargers had failed to cover 5 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 6.
  • The Chargers had lost 5 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 6.

The series

  • The Chargers lead the series 19–8–1 since 1966. The Bills have won the last 3.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • The Bills had won 8 of their last 10.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • The Bills had won 8 of their last 10 at home.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • At home, the Bills' rushing yards were 87.8 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 49.1 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Sep 27, 2026at BillsBills 24, Chargers 16
Dec 23, 2023at ChargersBills 24, Chargers 22
Nov 29, 2020at BillsBills 27, Chargers 17
Sep 16, 2018at BillsChargers 31, Bills 20
Nov 19, 2017at ChargersChargers 54, Bills 24
Sep 21, 2014at BillsChargers 22, Bills 10
Dec 11, 2011at ChargersChargers 37, Bills 10
Oct 19, 2008at BillsBills 23, Chargers 14
Dec 3, 2006at BillsChargers 24, Bills 21
Nov 20, 2005at ChargersChargers 48, Bills 10

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 26, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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