Putting Up Numbers· NFL

Texans @ Chargers

Sun, Nov 8 · SoFi Stadium

The line has it Texans 23, Chargers 18.Texans −4.5, total 40.5, as of Nov 4. A line moves until kickoff. From nflverse’s schedule file, which doesn’t name a book.

Texans at Chargers: against expected, a game, this season, All games
a gameTexans7 gamesChargers7 games
+0.4−9.2
+0.5+1.4
−1−36
+13−21
+32−34
−30−2
+0.4−0.5
−0.1+1.0
−0.8+1.1
−0.4+0.3

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game. Lit is among the five biggest either way. Tap a row for the games.

Analysis

What’s true going in. Each line says how it stood up; you judge.

Chargers

  • The Chargers have lost 10 straight, the longest active losing streak in the NFL.streakthe runs →
  • The Chargers are 8.5 points a game under the closing line this season, 32nd of 32.fact · rankedits form →

Texans

  • The Texans are 3.6 points a game under the closing line this season, 28th of 32, and 6.6 better away than at home over their last 35, 2nd of 32.fact · rankedits form →

The series

  • The Chargers lead the series 6–5 since 2002. The Texans have won the last 2. The Texans have won 3 straight at the Chargers.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • The Chargers have failed to cover 9 of their last 10.countits form →
  • The Chargers are 0–4–1 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →
  • Without Ladd McConkey, the Chargers' passing yards are 114.2 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
  • Without Tre Harris, the Chargers' points are 14.5 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
  • Since Derwin James’ last game, the Chargers' sacks taken are 1.3 over expected in 4 games. A +1.2 difference in sacks taken over expected since Derwin James’ last game vs with Derwin James is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were since Derwin James’ last game and it comes up 18 times in 100.thinwithout him →
  • The Texans have failed to cover 7 of their last 10.countits form →
  • The Texans have won 7 of their last 10 on the road.countits form →
  • The Texans are 1–4 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →
  • Without Nico Collins, the Texans' points are 13.2 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
  • Since David Montgomery’s last game, the Texans' sacks taken are 1.8 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
  • On the road, the Texans' points allowed are 11.7 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Dec 27, 2025at ChargersTexans 20, Chargers 16
Jan 11, 2025at TexansTexans 32, Chargers 12
Oct 2, 2022at TexansChargers 34, Texans 24
Dec 26, 2021at TexansTexans 41, Chargers 29
Sep 22, 2019at ChargersTexans 27, Chargers 20
Nov 27, 2016at TexansChargers 21, Texans 13
Sep 9, 2013at ChargersTexans 31, Chargers 28
Nov 7, 2010at TexansChargers 29, Texans 23
Oct 28, 2007at ChargersChargers 35, Texans 10
Sep 12, 2004at TexansChargers 27, Texans 20

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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