Putting Up Numbers· NFL

Chiefs @ Dolphins

Sun, Sep 27, 2026

Chiefs 24, Dolphins 10The Chiefs were favored by 10, and the Chiefs covered.

Chiefs at Dolphins: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameChiefs1 gameDolphins1 game
Points+0.5−12.7
Points allowed−11.8+0.9
Total offense, yards−11−13
Total defense, yards−1−32
Passing yards+12−24
Rushing yards−25+10
Yards an attempt+2.8−1.2
Sacks taken−2.2−2.2
Turnovers−0.4+0.8
Turnovers forced+0.8−0.1

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Dolphins

Chiefs

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

The series

  • The Chiefs lead the series 18–16 since 1966. The Chiefs have won the last 6.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • The Chiefs had failed to cover 8 of their last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • The Chiefs had lost 7 of their last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Sep 27, 2026at DolphinsChiefs 24, Dolphins 10
Jan 13, 2024at ChiefsChiefs 26, Dolphins 7
Nov 5, 2023neutralChiefs 21, Dolphins 14
Dec 13, 2020at DolphinsChiefs 33, Dolphins 27
Dec 24, 2017at ChiefsChiefs 29, Dolphins 13
Sep 21, 2014at DolphinsChiefs 34, Dolphins 15
Nov 6, 2011at ChiefsDolphins 31, Chiefs 3
Dec 21, 2008at ChiefsDolphins 38, Chiefs 31
Nov 12, 2006at DolphinsDolphins 13, Chiefs 10
Oct 21, 2005at DolphinsChiefs 30, Dolphins 20

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 26, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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