Putting Up Numbers· NFL

Falcons @ Packers

Thu, Sep 24, 2026

Falcons 35, Packers 14The Packers were favored by 4.5, and the Falcons covered.

Falcons at Packers: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameFalcons1 gamePackers1 game
Points+12.8−9.4
Points allowed−9.0+13.0
Total offense, yards+162−22
Total defense, yards−18+167
Passing yards+23+78
Rushing yards+133−100
Yards an attempt+3.4−1.0
Sacks taken−2.4−1.3
Turnovers−0.1−0.2
Turnovers forced−0.3−0.5

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Packers

Falcons

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Packers

  • The Packers had failed to cover 7 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 8.

The series

  • The Packers lead the series 19–18 since 1966. The Falcons have won the last 2.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • On the road, the Falcons' pass attempts were 11.2 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 7.9 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Sep 24, 2026at PackersFalcons 35, Packers 14
Sep 17, 2023at FalconsFalcons 25, Packers 24
Oct 5, 2020at PackersPackers 30, Falcons 16
Dec 9, 2018at PackersPackers 34, Falcons 20
Sep 17, 2017at FalconsFalcons 34, Packers 23
Jan 22, 2017at FalconsFalcons 44, Packers 21
Oct 30, 2016at FalconsFalcons 33, Packers 32
Dec 8, 2014at PackersPackers 43, Falcons 37
Dec 8, 2013at PackersPackers 22, Falcons 21
Oct 9, 2011at FalconsPackers 25, Falcons 14

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 23, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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