Putting Up Numbers· NFL

Lions @ Bills

Thu, Sep 17, 2026

Bills 41, Lions 31The Bills were favored by 5.5, and the Bills covered.

Lions at Bills: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameLions1 gameBills1 game
Points+7.7+17.8
Points allowed+15.4+6.6
Total offense, yards+43+94
Total defense, yards+83+21
Passing yards+92+12
Rushing yards−44+96
Yards an attempt+1.6+0.8
Sacks taken+1.7−0.4
Turnovers−1.2−1.3
Turnovers forced−1.4−1.1

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Bills

Lions

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

The series

  • The Bills lead the series 9–4–1 since 1972. The Bills have won the last 6.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • The Bills had won 8 of their last 10 at home.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • The Bills had won 7 of their last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • The Lions had failed to cover 7 of their last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Sep 17, 2026at BillsBills 41, Lions 31
Dec 15, 2024at LionsBills 48, Lions 42
Nov 24, 2022at LionsBills 28, Lions 25
Dec 16, 2018at BillsBills 14, Lions 13
Oct 5, 2014at LionsBills 17, Lions 14
Nov 14, 2010at BillsBills 14, Lions 12
Oct 15, 2006at LionsLions 20, Bills 17
Oct 27, 2002at BillsBills 24, Lions 17
Oct 5, 1997at BillsBills 22, Lions 13
Nov 24, 1994at LionsLions 35, Bills 21

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 16, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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