Villarreal
4–3–7 · Lost to Espanyol 1–0, Oct 30
Next: vs Getafe, Sun, Nov 8 · analysis
Against the closing odds
Villarreal has beaten the odds in 2 of its last 4, 0.79 goals a game under it. Over the season it’s 0.25 a game under, 75th of 110.
last 4
−0.79
before
−0.04
-20
Oct 17, 2026 vs Elche −1.36
Oct 20, 2026 @ Liverpool +0.14
Oct 24, 2026 @ Valencia +0.55
Oct 30, 2026 vs Espanyol −2.51
Lately
- Lost 5 of its last 10count
Sep 8 @ Borussia Dortmund −1
Sep 14 vs Real Betis −1
Sep 17 @ Málaga +2
Sep 20 vs Levante +2
Oct 10 @ Real Madrid −1
Oct 13 vs Napoli +2- Oct 17 vs Elche 0
- Oct 20 @ Liverpool −1
- Oct 24 @ Valencia +1
- Oct 30 vs Espanyol −1
- Won 5 of its last 10 at homecount
Apr 26, 2026 vs Celta Vigo +1- May 2, 2026 vs Levante +4
May 13, 2026 vs Sevilla −1
May 24, 2026 vs Atlético Madrid +4
Sep 5 vs Deportivo −1- Sep 14 vs Real Betis −1
- Sep 20 vs Levante +2
- Oct 13 vs Napoli +2
- Oct 17 vs Elche 0
- Oct 30 vs Espanyol −1
- Won 4 of its last 10count
- Sep 8 @ Borussia Dortmund −1
- Sep 14 vs Real Betis −1
- Sep 17 @ Málaga +2
- Sep 20 vs Levante +2
- Oct 10 @ Real Madrid −1
- Oct 13 vs Napoli +2
- Oct 17 vs Elche 0
- Oct 20 @ Liverpool −1
- Oct 24 @ Valencia +1
- Oct 30 vs Espanyol −1
Against expected,
| a game | attack | defense |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | +0.10 · 37th | +0.10 · 59th |
| Expected goals | +0.28 · 17th | −0.16 · 29th |
| Shots | +2.1 · 24th | −1.6 · 27th |
| Points | −0.28 · 59th |
Over (+) or under (−) what its opponents usually allow, a game, and where that stands among 96 clubs, the best first. Lit is the top ten or the bottom ten.
Villarreal’s splits
Method
- Against the odds is each game’s goal difference less what the closing odds expected, from DraftKings’ closing odds on ESPN’s match pages. A game nobody lined sits out, and a push hasn’t beaten it. Lately is the last 4 games with one.
- Against expected is each game against what the opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.