
Espanyol
3–2–6 · Beat Villarreal 1–0, Oct 30
Next: vs Deportivo, Sat, Nov 7 · analysis
Against the closing odds
Espanyol has beaten the odds in 1 of its last 4, by 0.40 goals a game. Over the season it’s 0.26 a game over, 31st of 110.
last 4
+0.40
before
+0.19
-202
Oct 9, 2026 @ Málaga −0.05
Oct 17, 2026 vs Atlético Madrid −0.12
Oct 24, 2026 @ Racing Santander −0.74
Oct 30, 2026 @ Villarreal +2.51
Lately
- Lost 6 of its last 10count
Aug 22 vs Real Madrid −1
Aug 29 @ Real Sociedad −1
Sep 6 vs Sevilla 0
Sep 12 @ Osasuna +2
Sep 15 @ Rayo Vallecano −1
Sep 18 vs Elche −2
Oct 9 @ Málaga 0
Oct 17 vs Atlético Madrid −1
Oct 24 @ Racing Santander −1
Oct 30 @ Villarreal +1
- Won 3 of its last 10 on the roadcount
Apr 11, 2026 @ Barcelona −3
Apr 23, 2026 @ Rayo Vallecano −1
May 9, 2026 @ Sevilla −1
May 17, 2026 @ Osasuna +1
Aug 29 @ Real Sociedad −1
Sep 12 @ Osasuna +2
Sep 15 @ Rayo Vallecano −1
Oct 9 @ Málaga 0
Oct 24 @ Racing Santander −1
Oct 30 @ Villarreal +1
- Won 2 of its last 10count
Aug 22 vs Real Madrid −1
Aug 29 @ Real Sociedad −1
Sep 6 vs Sevilla 0
Sep 12 @ Osasuna +2
Sep 15 @ Rayo Vallecano −1
Sep 18 vs Elche −2
Oct 9 @ Málaga 0
Oct 17 vs Atlético Madrid −1
Oct 24 @ Racing Santander −1
Oct 30 @ Villarreal +1
Against expected,
| a game | attack | defense |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | −0.47 · 68th | −0.31 · 30th |
| Expected goals | −0.37 · 81st | +0.12 · 67th |
| Shots | −2.4 · 74th | +0.4 · 51st |
| Points | −0.42 · 72nd |
Over (+) or under (−) what its opponents usually allow, a game, and where that stands among 96 clubs, the best first. Lit is the top ten or the bottom ten.
Method
- Against the odds is each game’s goal difference less what the closing odds expected, from DraftKings’ closing odds on ESPN’s match pages. A game nobody lined sits out, and a push hasn’t beaten it. Lately is the last 4 games with one.
- Against expected is each game against what the opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.