Real Sociedad
6–1–4 · Lost to Athletic Club 2–1, Nov 1
Next: vs Rayo Vallecano, Sun, Nov 8 · analysis
Against the closing odds
Real Sociedad has beaten the odds in 2 of its last 4, by 0.56 goals a game. Over the season it’s 0.06 a game under, 61st of 110.
last 4
+0.56
before
−0.41
-202
Oct 11, 2026 vs Deportivo +0.24
Oct 18, 2026 @ Málaga +2.63
Oct 25, 2026 vs Levante −0.20
Nov 1, 2026 @ Athletic Club −0.44
Lately
- Won 6 of its last 10count
Aug 26 @ Real Madrid −3
Aug 29 vs Espanyol +1
Sep 3 vs Celta Vigo 0
Sep 7 @ Elche +1
Sep 13 vs Atlético Madrid −3
Sep 20 @ Valencia +1- Oct 11 vs Deportivo +1
- Oct 18 @ Málaga +3
- Oct 25 vs Levante +1
- Nov 1 @ Athletic Club −1
- Won 4 of its last 10 at homecount
- Apr 4, 2026 vs Levante +2
Apr 11, 2026 vs Alavés 0
Apr 22, 2026 vs Getafe −1
May 9, 2026 vs Real Betis 0- May 17, 2026 vs Valencia −1
- Aug 29 vs Espanyol +1
- Sep 3 vs Celta Vigo 0
- Sep 13 vs Atlético Madrid −3
- Oct 11 vs Deportivo +1
- Oct 25 vs Levante +1
- Lost 3 of its last 10count
- Aug 26 @ Real Madrid −3
- Aug 29 vs Espanyol +1
- Sep 3 vs Celta Vigo 0
- Sep 7 @ Elche +1
- Sep 13 vs Atlético Madrid −3
- Sep 20 @ Valencia +1
- Oct 11 vs Deportivo +1
- Oct 18 @ Málaga +3
- Oct 25 vs Levante +1
- Nov 1 @ Athletic Club −1
Against expected,
| a game | attack | defense |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | +0.33 · 23rd | +0.36 · 73rd |
| Expected goals | −0.04 · 47th | +0.22 · 71st |
| Shots | +0.6 · 38th | +2.0 · 76th |
| Points | +0.39 · 25th |
Over (+) or under (−) what its opponents usually allow, a game, and where that stands among 96 clubs, the best first. Lit is the top ten or the bottom ten.
Method
- Against the odds is each game’s goal difference less what the closing odds expected, from DraftKings’ closing odds on ESPN’s match pages. A game nobody lined sits out, and a push hasn’t beaten it. Lately is the last 4 games with one.
- Against expected is each game against what the opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.