Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

Sevilla @ Getafe

Sun, Nov 1, 2026

Getafe 3, Sevilla 1

Sevilla at Getafe: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameSevilla1 gameGetafe1 game
Goals−0.49+1.34
Goals conceded+1.95−0.46
Expected goals−0.28−0.30
Expected goals conceded+0.09−0.17
Shots−1.9−2.7
Shots conceded−1.30.0
Points−1.47+1.63

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Getafe

Sevilla

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

The series

If you squint

  • Against a top-half team, Getafe’s shots conceded were 4.0 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.5 under expected.
  • At home, Getafe’s goals conceded were 0.70 under expected in 5 games. A −1.36 difference in goals conceded over expected at home vs away is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up 13 times in 100.thinthe split →This game: 0.57 under expected.
  • On the road, Sevilla’s yellow cards were 1.7 over expected in 5 games. A +1.9 difference in yellow cards over expected away vs at home is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were away and it comes up 9 times in 100.thinthe split →This game: 0.8 over expected.
  • Against a bottom-half team, Sevilla’s expected goals were 0.65 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.12 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Nov 1, 2026at GetafeGetafe 3, Sevilla 1
Feb 22, 2026at GetafeSevilla 1, Getafe 0
Aug 25, 2025at SevillaGetafe 2, Sevilla 1
Feb 1, 2025at GetafeGetafe 0, Sevilla 0
Sep 14, 2024at SevillaSevilla 1, Getafe 0
Mar 30, 2024at GetafeSevilla 1, Getafe 0
Dec 16, 2023at SevillaGetafe 3, Sevilla 0
Mar 19, 2023at GetafeGetafe 2, Sevilla 0
Jan 8, 2023at SevillaSevilla 2, Getafe 1
Jan 9, 2022at SevillaSevilla 1, Getafe 0

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 31, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.