
Sevilla
5–2–4 · Lost to Getafe 3–1, Nov 1
Next: vs Alavés, Fri, Nov 6 · analysis
Against the closing odds
Sevilla has beaten the odds in 1 of its last 4, 0.54 goals a game under it. Over the season it’s 0.12 a game over, 42nd of 110.
last 4
−0.54
before
+0.49
-202
Oct 12, 2026 @ Levante −0.11
Oct 18, 2026 @ Real Madrid −1.08
Oct 26, 2026 vs Osasuna +1.36
Nov 1, 2026 @ Getafe −2.32
Lately
- Won 6 of its last 10 at homecount
Mar 21, 2026 vs Valencia −2
Apr 11, 2026 vs Atlético Madrid +1
May 4, 2026 vs Real Sociedad +1
May 9, 2026 vs Espanyol +1
May 17, 2026 vs Real Madrid −1
Aug 15 vs Rayo Vallecano +1
Aug 29 vs Atlético Madrid −2
Sep 11 vs Valencia +1
Sep 19 vs Barcelona −2
Oct 26 vs Osasuna +2
- Won 4 of its last 10count
Aug 22 @ Athletic Club +2
Aug 29 vs Atlético Madrid −2
Sep 6 @ Espanyol 0
Sep 11 vs Valencia +1
Sep 16 @ Deportivo +1
Sep 19 vs Barcelona −2
Oct 12 @ Levante 0
Oct 18 @ Real Madrid −3
Oct 26 vs Osasuna +2
Nov 1 @ Getafe −2
- Lost 4 of its last 10count
Aug 22 @ Athletic Club +2
Aug 29 vs Atlético Madrid −2
Sep 6 @ Espanyol 0
Sep 11 vs Valencia +1
Sep 16 @ Deportivo +1
Sep 19 vs Barcelona −2
Oct 12 @ Levante 0
Oct 18 @ Real Madrid −3
Oct 26 vs Osasuna +2
Nov 1 @ Getafe −2
Against expected,
| a game | attack | defense |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | +0.02 · 42nd | +0.10 · 60th |
| Expected goals | −0.29 · 74th | −0.12 · 31st |
| Shots | −1.3 · 63rd | −1.7 · 26th |
| Points | +0.22 · 30th |
Over (+) or under (−) what its opponents usually allow, a game, and where that stands among 96 clubs, the best first. Lit is the top ten or the bottom ten.
Method
- Against the odds is each game’s goal difference less what the closing odds expected, from DraftKings’ closing odds on ESPN’s match pages. A game nobody lined sits out, and a push hasn’t beaten it. Lately is the last 4 games with one.
- Against expected is each game against what the opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.