Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

Málaga @ Real Betis

Sat, Oct 31, 2026

Real Betis 2, Málaga 1

Málaga at Real Betis: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameMálaga1 gameReal Betis1 game
Goals−0.46+0.24
Goals conceded+0.16+0.10
Expected goals−0.22−0.02
Expected goals conceded−0.01+0.24
Shots−3.3+7.6
Shots conceded+5.9−1.0
Points−0.90+1.20

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Real Betis

Málaga

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

The series

  • Real Betis leads the series 12–6–5 since 2002-03. Real Betis has won the last 5.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Real Betis had won 9 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 10 of 11.
  • Real Betis had won 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • Against a bottom-half team, Real Betis’ goals were 1.20 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.06 over expected.
  • At home, Real Betis’ points were 0.80 over expected in 7 games. A +0.70 difference in points over expected at home vs away is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up 18 times in 100.thinthe split →This game: 0.92 over expected.
  • Against a top-half team, Málaga’s yellow cards were 1.6 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.1 under expected.
  • On the road, Málaga’s shots conceded were 2.4 over expected in 5 games. A +4.3 difference in shots conceded over expected away vs at home is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were away and it comes up 9 times in 100.thinthe split →This game: 5.1 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 31, 2026at Real BetisReal Betis 2, Málaga 1
Apr 30, 2018at Real BetisReal Betis 2, Málaga 1
Dec 18, 2017at MálagaReal Betis 2, Málaga 0
Feb 28, 2017at MálagaReal Betis 2, Málaga 1
Sep 23, 2016at Real BetisReal Betis 1, Málaga 0
Mar 19, 2016at Real BetisMálaga 1, Real Betis 0
Nov 7, 2015at MálagaReal Betis 1, Málaga 0
Mar 31, 2014at Real BetisMálaga 2, Real Betis 1
Nov 3, 2013at MálagaMálaga 3, Real Betis 2
Feb 24, 2013at Real BetisReal Betis 3, Málaga 0

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 30, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.