Racing Santander @ Málaga

Sat, Nov 7 · La Liga · La Rosaleda

The odds have it Málaga 1.56, Racing Santander 1.41.Expected goals from DraftKings’ closing odds on ESPN’s match pages, as of Nov 4. Odds move until kickoff.

Racing Santander at Málaga: against expected, a game, this season, All games
a game	Racing Santander11 games	Málaga11 games
	−0.20	−0.80
	+1.14	+0.37
	−0.05	−0.53
	+0.46	+0.27
	−1.6	−3.1
	+3.1	+2.2
	−0.45	−0.91

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game. Lit is among the ten biggest either way. Tap a row for the games.

Analysis

What’s true going in. Each line says how it stood up; you judge.

The series

Málaga leads the series 8–5–3 since 2002-03. Málaga has won the last 5.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

On the road, Racing Santander’s expected goal difference are 1.31 under expected in 5 games. A −2.13 difference in expected goal difference over expected away vs at home is rare: shuffle which games were away and it comes up once in 100.thinthe split →

Every meeting

Date	Where	Score
Apr 9, 2012	at Málaga	Málaga 3, Racing Santander 0
Nov 21, 2011	at Racing Santander	Málaga 3, Racing Santander 1
Apr 24, 2011	at Racing Santander	Málaga 2, Racing Santander 1
Dec 5, 2010	at Málaga	Málaga 4, Racing Santander 1
Feb 14, 2010	at Racing Santander	Málaga 3, Racing Santander 0
Sep 19, 2009	at Málaga	Racing Santander 2, Málaga 1
May 10, 2009	at Málaga	Málaga 1, Racing Santander 0
Dec 21, 2008	at Racing Santander	Málaga 1, Racing Santander 1
Apr 30, 2006	at Málaga	Racing Santander 3, Málaga 2
Dec 18, 2005	at Racing Santander	Málaga 1, Racing Santander 1

Method

Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
A game with no box score sits out.