
Málaga
0–5–6 · Lost to Real Betis 2–1, Oct 31
Next: vs Racing Santander, Sat, Nov 7 · analysis
Against the closing odds
Málaga has beaten the odds in 3 of its last 4, 0.24 goals a game under it. Over the season it’s 0.40 a game under, 86th of 110.
last 4
−0.24
before
−0.50
-2-10
Oct 9, 2026 vs Espanyol +0.05
Oct 18, 2026 vs Real Sociedad −2.63
Oct 23, 2026 @ Alavés +0.97
Oct 31, 2026 @ Real Betis +0.67
Lately
- Lost 5 of its last 10count
Aug 24 vs Deportivo 0
Aug 30 @ Real Madrid −4
Sep 6 vs Levante 0
Sep 13 @ Celta Vigo 0
Sep 17 vs Villarreal −2
Sep 20 @ Getafe −1
Oct 9 vs Espanyol 0
Oct 18 vs Real Sociedad −3
Oct 23 @ Alavés 0
Oct 31 @ Real Betis −1
- Won 2 of its last 10 at homecount
Apr 1, 2018 vs Villarreal +1
Apr 15, 2018 vs Real Madrid −1
Apr 22, 2018 vs Real Sociedad +2
May 6, 2018 vs Alavés −3
May 19, 2018 vs Getafe −1
Aug 24 vs Deportivo 0
Sep 6 vs Levante 0
Sep 17 vs Villarreal −2
Oct 9 vs Espanyol 0
Oct 18 vs Real Sociedad −3
Against expected,
| a game | attack | defense |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | −0.80 · 88th | +0.37 · 74th |
| Expected goals | −0.53 · 89th | +0.27 · 78th |
| Shots | −3.1 · 79th | +2.2 · 81st |
| Points | −0.91 · 93rd |
Over (+) or under (−) what its opponents usually allow, a game, and where that stands among 96 clubs, the best first. Lit is the top ten or the bottom ten.
Method
- Against the odds is each game’s goal difference less what the closing odds expected, from DraftKings’ closing odds on ESPN’s match pages. A game nobody lined sits out, and a push hasn’t beaten it. Lately is the last 4 games with one.
- Against expected is each game against what the opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.