Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

Leeds United @ AFC Bournemouth

Sat, Oct 31, 2026

AFC Bournemouth 2, Leeds United 0

Leeds United at AFC Bournemouth: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameLeeds United1 gameAFC Bournemouth1 game
Goals−1.53+0.61
Goals conceded+0.33−1.17
Expected goals−0.31−0.41
Expected goals conceded−0.71−0.41
Shots−1.3−3.9
Shots conceded−4.2−1.7
Points−1.32+1.68

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

AFC Bournemouth

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

The series

If you squint

  • Against a top-half team, AFC Bournemouth’s goals conceded were 3.30 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.31 under expected.
  • At home, AFC Bournemouth’s expected goals were 0.70 over expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.57 under expected.
  • Against a bottom-half team, Leeds United’s goals were 1.12 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.31 under expected.
  • On the road, Leeds United’s yellow cards were 0.6 over expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.2 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 31, 2026at AFC BournemouthAFC Bournemouth 2, Leeds United 0
Apr 22, 2026at AFC BournemouthAFC Bournemouth 2, Leeds United 2
Sep 27, 2025at Leeds UnitedAFC Bournemouth 2, Leeds United 2
Apr 30, 2023at AFC BournemouthAFC Bournemouth 4, Leeds United 1
Nov 5, 2022at Leeds UnitedLeeds United 4, AFC Bournemouth 3

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 30, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

Read next