AFC Bournemouth
3–3–3 · Beat Leeds United 2–0, Oct 31
Next: at Ipswich Town, Sun, Nov 8 · analysis
Against the closing odds
AFC Bournemouth has beaten the odds in 3 of its last 4, by 0.72 goals a game. Over the season it’s 0.26 a game over, 32nd of 110.
last 4
+0.73
before
−0.11
-202
Oct 10, 2026 @ Chelsea −3.31
Oct 18, 2026 vs Sunderland +1.55
Oct 25, 2026 @ Manchester United +3.13
Oct 31, 2026 vs Leeds United +1.53
Lately
- Won 4 of its last 10 on the roadcount
Feb 21, 2026 @ West Ham United 0
Mar 14, 2026 @ Burnley 0
Apr 11, 2026 @ Arsenal +1
Apr 18, 2026 @ Newcastle United +1
May 9, 2026 @ Fulham +1
May 24, 2026 @ Nottingham Forest 0
Aug 23 @ Manchester City −1- Sep 5 @ Newcastle United 0
- Oct 10 @ Chelsea −4
- Oct 25 @ Manchester United +3
- Won 3 of its last 10count
- May 24, 2026 @ Nottingham Forest 0
- Aug 23 @ Manchester City −1
Aug 29 vs Everton 0- Sep 5 @ Newcastle United 0
Sep 12 vs Brentford 0
Sep 20 vs Liverpool −1- Oct 10 @ Chelsea −4
- Oct 18 vs Sunderland +2
- Oct 25 @ Manchester United +3
- Oct 31 vs Leeds United +2
- Lost 3 of its last 10count
- May 24, 2026 @ Nottingham Forest 0
- Aug 23 @ Manchester City −1
- Aug 29 vs Everton 0
- Sep 5 @ Newcastle United 0
- Sep 12 vs Brentford 0
- Sep 20 vs Liverpool −1
- Oct 10 @ Chelsea −4
- Oct 18 vs Sunderland +2
- Oct 25 @ Manchester United +3
- Oct 31 vs Leeds United +2
Against expected,
| a game | attack | defense |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | +0.02 · 41st | −0.09 · 45th |
| Expected goals | +0.27 · 18th | −0.41 · 11th |
| Shots | +0.4 · 40th | −4.1 · 7th |
| Points | −0.01 · 41st |
Over (+) or under (−) what its opponents usually allow, a game, and where that stands among 96 clubs, the best first. Lit is the top ten or the bottom ten.
AFC Bournemouth’s splits
Method
- Against the odds is each game’s goal difference less what the closing odds expected, from DraftKings’ closing odds on ESPN’s match pages. A game nobody lined sits out, and a push hasn’t beaten it. Lately is the last 4 games with one.
- Against expected is each game against what the opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.