AFC Bournemouth @ Ipswich Town

Sun, Nov 8 · Premier League · Portman Road

The odds have it Ipswich Town 1.18, AFC Bournemouth 1.72.Expected goals from DraftKings’ closing odds on ESPN’s match pages, as of Nov 4. Odds move until kickoff.

AFC Bournemouth at Ipswich Town: against expected, a game, this season, All games
a game	AFC Bournemouth9 games	Ipswich Town9 games
	+0.02	+0.01
	−0.09	+0.65
	+0.27	−0.34
	−0.41	+0.18
	+0.4	−2.7
	−4.1	+1.8
	−0.01	−0.24

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game. Lit is among the ten biggest either way. Tap a row for the games.

Analysis

What’s true going in. Each line says how it stood up; you judge.

The series

The series is tied 1–1 since 2024-25.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

At home, Ipswich Town’s yellow cards are 0.9 under expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
On the road, AFC Bournemouth’s shots are 3.2 under expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →

Every meeting

Date	Where	Score
Apr 2, 2025	at AFC Bournemouth	Ipswich Town 2, AFC Bournemouth 1
Dec 8, 2024	at Ipswich Town	AFC Bournemouth 2, Ipswich Town 1

Method

Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
A game with no box score sits out.