Leeds United
2–5–2 · Lost to AFC Bournemouth 2–0, Oct 31
Next: vs Tottenham Hotspur, Sat, Nov 7 · analysis
Against the closing odds
Leeds United has beaten the odds in 2 of its last 4, 0.33 goals a game under it. Over the season it’s 0.26 a game over, 33rd of 110.
last 4
−0.33
before
+0.72
02
Oct 10, 2026 @ Arsenal +0.26
Oct 18, 2026 vs Manchester United −0.10
Oct 25, 2026 @ Sunderland +0.05
Oct 31, 2026 @ AFC Bournemouth −1.53
Lately
- Won 4 of its last 10 at homecount
Feb 28, 2026 vs Manchester City −1- Mar 3, 2026 vs Sunderland −1
Mar 21, 2026 vs Brentford 0
Apr 18, 2026 vs Wolverhampton Wanderers +3
May 1, 2026 vs Burnley +2
May 17, 2026 vs Brighton & Hove Albion +1- Aug 30 vs Brentford 0
Sep 14 vs Newcastle United +3
Sep 20 vs Crystal Palace 0- Oct 18 vs Manchester United 0
- Lost 3 of its last 10count
May 24, 2026 @ West Ham United −3
Aug 22 @ Nottingham Forest +1- Aug 30 vs Brentford 0
- Sep 5 @ Brighton & Hove Albion 0
- Sep 14 vs Newcastle United +3
- Sep 20 vs Crystal Palace 0
- Oct 10 @ Arsenal −1
- Oct 18 vs Manchester United 0
- Oct 25 @ Sunderland 0
- Oct 31 @ AFC Bournemouth −2
- Won 2 of its last 10count
- May 24, 2026 @ West Ham United −3
- Aug 22 @ Nottingham Forest +1
- Aug 30 vs Brentford 0
- Sep 5 @ Brighton & Hove Albion 0
- Sep 14 vs Newcastle United +3
- Sep 20 vs Crystal Palace 0
- Oct 10 @ Arsenal −1
- Oct 18 vs Manchester United 0
- Oct 25 @ Sunderland 0
- Oct 31 @ AFC Bournemouth −2
Against expected,
| a game | attack | defense |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | −0.55 · 74th | −0.66 · 9th |
| Expected goals | −0.14 · 57th | −0.24 · 20th |
| Shots | −2.0 · 68th | −0.4 · 40th |
| Points | −0.18 · 50th |
Over (+) or under (−) what its opponents usually allow, a game, and where that stands among 96 clubs, the best first. Lit is the top ten or the bottom ten.
Method
- Against the odds is each game’s goal difference less what the closing odds expected, from DraftKings’ closing odds on ESPN’s match pages. A game nobody lined sits out, and a push hasn’t beaten it. Lately is the last 4 games with one.
- Against expected is each game against what the opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.