Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

Le Mans @ Troyes

Sat, Oct 31, 2026

Troyes 2, Le Mans 0

Le Mans at Troyes: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameLe Mans1 gameTroyes1 game
Goals−1.65+0.21
Goals conceded+0.87−1.32
Expected goals−0.98+0.90
Expected goals conceded+1.22−0.91
Shots−9.0−2.0
Shots conceded−0.5−7.8
Points−1.62+1.38

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Troyes

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

The series

If you squint

  • At home, Troyes’ goal difference were 1.52 under expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.27 over expected.
  • Against a bottom-half team, Le Mans’ goals were 1.31 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.61 under expected.
  • On the road, Le Mans’ yellow cards were 0.7 over expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.9 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 31, 2026at TroyesTroyes 2, Le Mans 0
Jan 13, 2007at Le MansLe Mans 2, Troyes 0
Aug 12, 2006at TroyesTroyes 2, Le Mans 2
Jan 21, 2006at TroyesLe Mans 3, Troyes 1
Aug 27, 2005at Le MansLe Mans 1, Troyes 0

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 30, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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