
Le Mans
1–4–4 · Lost to Troyes 2–0, Oct 31
Next: vs AS Monaco, Sun, Nov 8 · analysis
Against the closing odds
Le Mans has beaten the odds in 2 of its last 4, 0.95 goals a game under it. Over the season it’s 0.04 a game under, 59th of 110.
last 4
−0.95
before
+0.70
-2-101
Oct 10, 2026 @ Paris Saint-Germain +0.28
Oct 16, 2026 vs Toulouse −2.71
Oct 25, 2026 @ AJ Auxerre +0.36
Oct 31, 2026 @ Troyes −1.74
Lately
- Lost 5 of its last 10count
May 15, 2010 @ Lyon −2
Aug 22 vs Brest 0
Aug 30 @ Stade Rennais −1
Sep 5 @ Nice 0
Sep 13 vs Lens 0
Sep 19 vs Lorient +1
Oct 10 @ Paris Saint-Germain −2
Oct 16 vs Toulouse −3
Oct 25 @ AJ Auxerre 0
Oct 31 @ Troyes −2
- Won 3 of its last 10 at homecount
Mar 13, 2010 vs Nice −1
Mar 28, 2010 vs Stade Rennais −2
Apr 10, 2010 vs Montpellier 0
Apr 14, 2010 vs Bordeaux +1
Apr 24, 2010 vs Lille −1
May 8, 2010 vs Paris Saint-Germain +1
Aug 22 vs Brest 0
Sep 13 vs Lens 0
Sep 19 vs Lorient +1
Oct 16 vs Toulouse −3
- Won 1 of its last 10count
May 15, 2010 @ Lyon −2
Aug 22 vs Brest 0
Aug 30 @ Stade Rennais −1
Sep 5 @ Nice 0
Sep 13 vs Lens 0
Sep 19 vs Lorient +1
Oct 10 @ Paris Saint-Germain −2
Oct 16 vs Toulouse −3
Oct 25 @ AJ Auxerre 0
Oct 31 @ Troyes −2
Against expected,
| a game | attack | defense |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | −0.38 · 67th | +0.42 · 77th |
| Expected goals | −0.20 · 65th | +0.29 · 79th |
| Shots | −3.8 · 88th | +1.7 · 70th |
| Points | −0.61 · 85th |
Over (+) or under (−) what its opponents usually allow, a game, and where that stands among 96 clubs, the best first. Lit is the top ten or the bottom ten.
Method
- Against the odds is each game’s goal difference less what the closing odds expected, from DraftKings’ closing odds on ESPN’s match pages. A game nobody lined sits out, and a push hasn’t beaten it. Lately is the last 4 games with one.
- Against expected is each game against what the opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.