
Troyes
2–2–5 · Beat Le Mans 2–0, Oct 31
Next: at Paris Saint-Germain, Sat, Nov 7 · analysis
Against the closing odds
Troyes has beaten the odds in 2 of its last 4, 0.01 goals a game under it. Over the season it’s 0.48 a game under, 88th of 110.
last 4
−0.01
before
−0.86
-20
Oct 11, 2026 vs Marseille −1.54
Oct 17, 2026 vs Lens −1.27
Oct 25, 2026 @ Toulouse +1.04
Oct 31, 2026 vs Le Mans +1.74
Lately
- Lost 5 of its last 10count
Jun 3, 2023 vs Lille 0
Aug 22 vs Paris FC 0
Aug 29 @ Lorient +1
Sep 6 vs Strasbourg −4
Sep 13 @ Lille −2
Sep 19 @ Angers −2
Oct 11 vs Marseille −2
Oct 17 vs Lens −2
Oct 25 @ Toulouse 0
Oct 31 vs Le Mans +2
- Won 2 of its last 10count
Jun 3, 2023 vs Lille 0
Aug 22 vs Paris FC 0
Aug 29 @ Lorient +1
Sep 6 vs Strasbourg −4
Sep 13 @ Lille −2
Sep 19 @ Angers −2
Oct 11 vs Marseille −2
Oct 17 vs Lens −2
Oct 25 @ Toulouse 0
Oct 31 vs Le Mans +2
- Won 1 of its last 10 at homecount
Apr 9, 2023 vs Clermont Foot −2
Apr 30, 2023 vs Nice −1
May 7, 2023 vs Paris Saint-Germain −2
May 21, 2023 vs Strasbourg 0
Jun 3, 2023 vs Lille 0
Aug 22 vs Paris FC 0
Sep 6 vs Strasbourg −4
Oct 11 vs Marseille −2
Oct 17 vs Lens −2
Oct 31 vs Le Mans +2
Against expected,
| a game | attack | defense |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | −0.83 · 89th | +0.30 · 69th |
| Expected goals | −0.20 · 64th | −0.07 · 45th |
| Shots | −0.5 · 52nd | −2.1 · 19th |
| Points | −0.57 · 82nd |
Over (+) or under (−) what its opponents usually allow, a game, and where that stands among 96 clubs, the best first. Lit is the top ten or the bottom ten.
Method
- Against the odds is each game’s goal difference less what the closing odds expected, from DraftKings’ closing odds on ESPN’s match pages. A game nobody lined sits out, and a push hasn’t beaten it. Lately is the last 4 games with one.
- Against expected is each game against what the opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.