AS Monaco @ Le Mans

Sun, Nov 8 · Ligue 1 · Stade Marie-Marvingt

The odds have it Le Mans 1.17, AS Monaco 1.90.Expected goals from DraftKings’ closing odds on ESPN’s match pages, as of Nov 4. Odds move until kickoff.

AS Monaco at Le Mans: against expected, a game, this season, All games
a game	AS Monaco9 games	Le Mans9 games
	−0.22	−0.38
	−0.57	+0.42
	−0.27	−0.20
	−0.12	+0.29
	−1.3	−3.8
	−1.4	+1.7
	+0.31	−0.61

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game. Lit is among the ten biggest either way. Tap a row for the games.

Analysis

What’s true going in. Each line says how it stood up; you judge.

The series

AS Monaco leads the series 8–1–3 since 2003-04.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

At home, Le Mans’ shots conceded are 2.4 over expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →

Every meeting

Date	Where	Score
Apr 27, 2010	at AS Monaco	Le Mans 1, AS Monaco 1
Dec 23, 2009	at Le Mans	Le Mans 1, AS Monaco 1
Apr 26, 2009	at Le Mans	AS Monaco 1, Le Mans 0
Nov 23, 2008	at AS Monaco	AS Monaco 3, Le Mans 0
Jan 26, 2008	at Le Mans	Le Mans 1, AS Monaco 0
Aug 25, 2007	at AS Monaco	AS Monaco 3, Le Mans 1
Feb 24, 2007	at Le Mans	AS Monaco 2, Le Mans 0
Sep 30, 2006	at AS Monaco	AS Monaco 2, Le Mans 1
Apr 15, 2006	at Le Mans	Le Mans 0, AS Monaco 0
Dec 3, 2005	at AS Monaco	AS Monaco 2, Le Mans 0

Method

Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
A game with no box score sits out.