Mainz @ 
SV Elversberg
SV Elversberg 4, Mainz 1
| a game | Mainz1 game | SV Elversberg1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | −0.70 | +2.26 |
| Goals conceded | +2.20 | −0.89 |
| Expected goals | +0.04 | −0.45 |
| Expected goals conceded | −0.53 | +0.22 |
| Shots | −7.7 | −1.2 |
| Shots conceded | +0.8 | −6.0 |
| Points | −1.29 | +1.47 |
Who put up numbers
SV Elversberg
Mainz
Analysis
Mainz
- Mainz had won 5 straight on the road.streakthe runs →Ended here.
The series
- SV Elversberg leads the series 1–0 since 2026-27.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- At home, SV Elversberg’s shots conceded were 7.2 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 8.8 under expected.
- On the road, Mainz’s goal difference were 2.64 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.79 under expected.
- Against a top-half team, Mainz’s points were 1.19 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.28 under expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | at SV Elversberg | SV Elversberg 4, Mainz 1 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 29, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- A game with no box score sits out.