SV Elversberg
4–1–3 · Beat Mainz 4–1, Oct 30
Next: at Borussia Dortmund, Sat, Nov 7 · analysis
Against the closing odds
SV Elversberg has beaten the odds in 2 of its last 4, by 0.20 goals a game. Over the season it’s 0.78 a game over, 11th of 110.
last 4
+0.20
before
+1.37
-202
Oct 10, 2026 @ 1. FC Union Berlin −0.91
Oct 17, 2026 vs FC Augsburg +0.93
Oct 24, 2026 @ RB Leipzig −2.84
Oct 30, 2026 vs Mainz +3.62
Lately
- Won 4 of its last 8count
Aug 29 vs Bayer Leverkusen +1
Sep 5 @ Borussia Mönchengladbach +1
Sep 13 vs Bayern Munich −1
Sep 20 @ Schalke 04 0- Oct 10 @ 1. FC Union Berlin −1
- Oct 17 vs FC Augsburg +1
- Oct 24 @ RB Leipzig −4
- Oct 30 vs Mainz +3
- Lost 3 of its last 8count
- Aug 29 vs Bayer Leverkusen +1
- Sep 5 @ Borussia Mönchengladbach +1
- Sep 13 vs Bayern Munich −1
- Sep 20 @ Schalke 04 0
- Oct 10 @ 1. FC Union Berlin −1
- Oct 17 vs FC Augsburg +1
- Oct 24 @ RB Leipzig −4
- Oct 30 vs Mainz +3
- Won 3 of its last 4 at homecount
- Aug 29 vs Bayer Leverkusen +1
- Sep 13 vs Bayern Munich −1
- Oct 17 vs FC Augsburg +1
- Oct 30 vs Mainz +3
Against expected,
| a game | attack | defense |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | +0.32 · 24th | +0.24 · 65th |
| Expected goals | −0.31 · 76th | +0.66 · 93rd |
| Shots | −4.1 · 93rd | +4.7 · 93rd |
| Points | +0.19 · 32nd |
Over (+) or under (−) what its opponents usually allow, a game, and where that stands among 96 clubs, the best first. Lit is the top ten or the bottom ten.
Method
- Against the odds is each game’s goal difference less what the closing odds expected, from DraftKings’ closing odds on ESPN’s match pages. A game nobody lined sits out, and a push hasn’t beaten it. Lately is the last 4 games with one.
- Against expected is each game against what the opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.