Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

Mainz

3–1–4 · Lost to SV Elversberg 4–1, Oct 30

Next: vs Bayern Munich, Sat, Nov 7 · analysis

Against the closing odds

Mainz has beaten the odds in 1 of its last 4, 1.31 goals a game under it. Over the season it’s 1.22 a game under, 107th of 110.

  • Bayer Leverkusen Oct 10, 2026 vs Bayer Leverkusen −0.73
  • Schalke 04 Oct 17, 2026 @ Schalke 04 +0.85
  • Werder Bremen Oct 24, 2026 vs Werder Bremen −1.76
  • SV Elversberg Oct 30, 2026 @ SV Elversberg −3.62

every game, with the odds

Lately

  • Won 7 of its last 10 on the roadcount
    • Bayer Leverkusen Feb 28, 2026 @ Bayer Leverkusen 0
    • Werder Bremen Mar 15, 2026 @ Werder Bremen +2
    • TSG Hoffenheim Apr 4, 2026 @ TSG Hoffenheim +1
    • Borussia Mönchengladbach Apr 19, 2026 @ Borussia Mönchengladbach 0
    • St. Pauli May 3, 2026 @ St. Pauli +1
    • 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 May 16, 2026 @ 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 +2
    • Hamburg SV Sep 6 @ Hamburg SV +5
    • Borussia Mönchengladbach Sep 19 @ Borussia Mönchengladbach +1
    • Schalke 04 Oct 17 @ Schalke 04 +1
    • SV Elversberg Oct 30 @ SV Elversberg −3
  • Lost 5 of its last 10count
    • 1. FC Union Berlin May 10, 2026 vs 1. FC Union Berlin −2
    • 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 May 16, 2026 @ 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 +2
    • SC Paderborn 07 Aug 29 vs SC Paderborn 07 0
    • Hamburg SV Sep 6 @ Hamburg SV +5
    • Eintracht Frankfurt Sep 12 vs Eintracht Frankfurt −2
    • Borussia Mönchengladbach Sep 19 @ Borussia Mönchengladbach +1
    • Bayer Leverkusen Oct 10 vs Bayer Leverkusen −1
    • Schalke 04 Oct 17 @ Schalke 04 +1
    • Werder Bremen Oct 24 vs Werder Bremen −1
    • SV Elversberg Oct 30 @ SV Elversberg −3
  • Won 4 of its last 10count
    • 1. FC Union Berlin May 10, 2026 vs 1. FC Union Berlin −2
    • 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 May 16, 2026 @ 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 +2
    • SC Paderborn 07 Aug 29 vs SC Paderborn 07 0
    • Hamburg SV Sep 6 @ Hamburg SV +5
    • Eintracht Frankfurt Sep 12 vs Eintracht Frankfurt −2
    • Borussia Mönchengladbach Sep 19 @ Borussia Mönchengladbach +1
    • Bayer Leverkusen Oct 10 vs Bayer Leverkusen −1
    • Schalke 04 Oct 17 @ Schalke 04 +1
    • Werder Bremen Oct 24 vs Werder Bremen −1
    • SV Elversberg Oct 30 @ SV Elversberg −3

every kind

Against expected,

Against expected, this season, a game
a gameattackdefense
Goals+0.44 · 21st+0.69 · 88th
Expected goals+0.30 · 16th−0.21 · 23rd
Shots+1.3 · 27th−0.5 · 39th
Points−0.23 · 56th

Over (+) or under (−) what its opponents usually allow, a game, and where that stands among 96 clubs, the best first. Lit is the top ten or the bottom ten.

every stat, every team

Method

  • Against the odds is each game’s goal difference less what the closing odds expected, from DraftKings’ closing odds on ESPN’s match pages. A game nobody lined sits out, and a push hasn’t beaten it. Lately is the last 4 games with one.
  • Against expected is each game against what the opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.