Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

Espanyol @ Villarreal

Fri, Oct 30, 2026

Espanyol 1, Villarreal 0

Espanyol at Villarreal: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameEspanyol1 gameVillarreal1 game
Goals−0.55−1.60
Goals conceded−1.84−0.21
Expected goals−0.96−0.61
Expected goals conceded−0.76−0.80
Shots−7.7−0.8
Shots conceded−2.3−7.2
Points+1.62−1.80

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Espanyol

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Villarreal

  • Villarreal’s points were 1.20 lower in the Champions League than in the league against expected over its last 75 games, 28th of 28 teams.fact · rankedthe split →This game: 1.72 under expected.

The series

If you squint

  • Against a bottom-half team, Villarreal’s expected goals were 0.74 over expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.92 under expected.
  • Against a top-half team, Espanyol’s expected goals were 0.44 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.72 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 30, 2026at VillarrealEspanyol 1, Villarreal 0
Feb 9, 2026at VillarrealVillarreal 4, Espanyol 1
Nov 8, 2025at EspanyolVillarreal 2, Espanyol 0
Apr 27, 2025at VillarrealVillarreal 1, Espanyol 0
Sep 26, 2024at EspanyolVillarreal 2, Espanyol 1
Apr 27, 2023at VillarrealVillarreal 4, Espanyol 2
Nov 9, 2022at EspanyolVillarreal 1, Espanyol 0
Feb 27, 2022at VillarrealVillarreal 5, Espanyol 1
Aug 21, 2021at EspanyolVillarreal 0, Espanyol 0
Jan 19, 2020at VillarrealEspanyol 2, Villarreal 1

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 29, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.