Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

Udinese @ Parma

Wed, Oct 28, 2026

Parma 0, Udinese 0

Udinese at Parma: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameUdinese1 gameParma1 game
Goals−1.61−1.97
Goals conceded−1.13−1.23
Expected goals+0.18−1.32
Expected goals conceded−0.59+0.54
Shots+4.5−8.2
Shots conceded−4.4+6.7
Points−0.74−1.02

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Udinese

The series

If you squint

  • Parma had lost 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • Against a bottom-half team, Parma’s shots were 13.3 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 6.6 under expected.
  • Against a bottom-half team, Udinese’s expected goals conceded were 0.84 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.08 under expected.
  • On the road, Udinese’s yellow cards were 1.2 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.1 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 28, 2026at ParmaParma 0, Udinese 0
Apr 18, 2026at UdineseParma 1, Udinese 0
Nov 29, 2025at ParmaUdinese 2, Parma 0
Mar 1, 2025at UdineseUdinese 1, Parma 0
Sep 16, 2024at ParmaUdinese 3, Parma 2
Feb 21, 2021at ParmaParma 2, Udinese 2
Oct 18, 2020at UdineseUdinese 3, Parma 2
Jan 26, 2020at ParmaParma 2, Udinese 0
Sep 1, 2019at UdineseParma 3, Udinese 1
Jan 19, 2019at UdineseParma 2, Udinese 1

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 27, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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