Parma
1–2–6 · Drew with Udinese 0–0, Oct 28
Next: vs Bologna, Sat, Nov 7 · analysis
Against the closing odds
Parma has beaten the odds in 2 of its last 4, 0.81 goals a game under it. Over the season it’s 0.26 a game under, 76th of 110.
last 4
−0.81
before
+0.19
-2-101
Oct 10, 2026 @ Internazionale −0.93
Oct 19, 2026 vs Torino −2.70
Oct 24, 2026 @ Lazio +0.28
Oct 28, 2026 vs Udinese +0.11
Lately
- Lost 6 of its last 10count
May 24, 2026 vs Sassuolo +1
Aug 22 vs Cagliari −1
Aug 29 @ Juventus −2
Sep 6 vs Monza 0
Sep 14 @ Como −1
Sep 20 vs Genoa +1- Oct 10 @ Internazionale −3
- Oct 19 vs Torino −3
- Oct 24 @ Lazio −1
- Oct 28 vs Udinese 0
- Won 3 of its last 10 at homecount
Mar 21, 2026 vs Cremonese −2
Apr 12, 2026 vs Napoli 0
Apr 25, 2026 vs Pisa +1
May 10, 2026 vs AS Roma −1- May 24, 2026 vs Sassuolo +1
- Aug 22 vs Cagliari −1
- Sep 6 vs Monza 0
- Sep 20 vs Genoa +1
- Oct 19 vs Torino −3
- Oct 28 vs Udinese 0
- Won 2 of its last 10count
- May 24, 2026 vs Sassuolo +1
- Aug 22 vs Cagliari −1
- Aug 29 @ Juventus −2
- Sep 6 vs Monza 0
- Sep 14 @ Como −1
- Sep 20 vs Genoa +1
- Oct 10 @ Internazionale −3
- Oct 19 vs Torino −3
- Oct 24 @ Lazio −1
- Oct 28 vs Udinese 0
Against expected,
| a game | attack | defense |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | −1.04 · 95th | +0.09 · 58th |
| Expected goals | −0.59 · 91st | +0.29 · 80th |
| Shots | −3.9 · 91st | +3.8 · 89th |
| Points | −0.85 · 91st |
Over (+) or under (−) what its opponents usually allow, a game, and where that stands among 96 clubs, the best first. Lit is the top ten or the bottom ten.
Method
- Against the odds is each game’s goal difference less what the closing odds expected, from DraftKings’ closing odds on ESPN’s match pages. A game nobody lined sits out, and a push hasn’t beaten it. Lately is the last 4 games with one.
- Against expected is each game against what the opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.