Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

Napoli @ Monza

Wed, Oct 28, 2026

Napoli 4, Monza 1

Napoli at Monza: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameNapoli1 gameMonza1 game
Goals+2.28−0.66
Goals conceded−0.84+2.60
Expected goals+0.51−0.71
Expected goals conceded−0.42+0.34
Shots+3.1−4.8
Shots conceded−1.8+2.4
Points+1.38−1.64

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Monza

Napoli

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

The series

  • Napoli leads the series 5–1–1 since 2022-23. Napoli has won the last 4.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Monza had lost 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • At home, Monza’s expected goals conceded were 0.72 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.11 over expected.
  • Against a bottom-half team, Napoli’s shots were 15.0 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.4 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 28, 2026at MonzaNapoli 4, Monza 1
Apr 19, 2025at MonzaNapoli 1, Monza 0
Sep 29, 2024at NapoliNapoli 2, Monza 0
Apr 7, 2024at MonzaNapoli 4, Monza 2
Dec 29, 2023at NapoliMonza 0, Napoli 0
May 14, 2023at MonzaMonza 2, Napoli 0
Aug 21, 2022at NapoliNapoli 4, Monza 0

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 27, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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