Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

Lazio @ Sassuolo

Tue, Oct 27, 2026

Lazio 6, Sassuolo 2

Lazio at Sassuolo: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameLazio1 gameSassuolo1 game
Goals+4.35+0.64
Goals conceded+0.33+4.29
Expected goals−0.14−0.78
Expected goals conceded−0.91+0.04
Shots+1.7−4.4
Shots conceded−6.3+3.1
Points+1.56−0.90

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Sassuolo

Lazio

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Lazio

  • Lazio had won 4 straight on the road.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
  • Lazio had won 4 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.

The series

  • Lazio leads the series 15–6–4 since 2013-14. Lazio has won the last 2.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Sassuolo had won 7 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • At home, Sassuolo’s points were 1.19 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.00 under expected.
  • Against a bottom-half team, Lazio’s shots were 3.9 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.1 over expected.
  • On the road, Lazio’s goals conceded were 1.09 under expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.51 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 27, 2026at SassuoloLazio 6, Sassuolo 2
Mar 9, 2026at LazioLazio 2, Sassuolo 1
Sep 14, 2025at SassuoloSassuolo 1, Lazio 0
May 26, 2024at LazioSassuolo 1, Lazio 1
Oct 21, 2023at SassuoloLazio 2, Sassuolo 0
May 3, 2023at LazioLazio 2, Sassuolo 0
Jan 15, 2023at SassuoloLazio 2, Sassuolo 0
Apr 2, 2022at LazioLazio 2, Sassuolo 1
Dec 12, 2021at SassuoloSassuolo 2, Lazio 1
May 23, 2021at SassuoloSassuolo 2, Lazio 0

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 26, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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