Sassuolo
2–2–5 · Lost to Lazio 6–2, Oct 27
Next: at AS Roma, Sat, Nov 7 · analysis
Against the closing odds
Sassuolo has beaten the odds in 1 of its last 4, 1.36 goals a game under it. Over the season it’s 0.37 a game under, 81st of 110.
last 4
−1.37
before
+0.42
-20
Oct 11, 2026 vs AC Milan +0.62
Oct 16, 2026 @ Frosinone −1.91
Oct 24, 2026 @ Como −0.72
Oct 27, 2026 vs Lazio −3.45
Lately
- Lost 6 of its last 10count
May 24, 2026 @ Parma −1
Aug 23 @ Atalanta −1
Aug 29 vs Torino +1
Sep 6 @ Bologna 0
Sep 13 vs Juventus +1
Sep 18 @ Monza −1- Oct 11 vs AC Milan 0
- Oct 16 @ Frosinone −2
- Oct 24 @ Como −2
- Oct 27 vs Lazio −4
- Won 6 of its last 10 at homecount
- Mar 1, 2026 vs Atalanta +1
- Mar 15, 2026 vs Bologna −1
Apr 4, 2026 vs Cagliari +1- Apr 17, 2026 vs Como +1
- May 3, 2026 vs AC Milan +2
May 17, 2026 vs Lecce −1- Aug 29 vs Torino +1
- Sep 13 vs Juventus +1
- Oct 11 vs AC Milan 0
- Oct 27 vs Lazio −4
- Won 2 of its last 10count
- May 24, 2026 @ Parma −1
- Aug 23 @ Atalanta −1
- Aug 29 vs Torino +1
- Sep 6 @ Bologna 0
- Sep 13 vs Juventus +1
- Sep 18 @ Monza −1
- Oct 11 vs AC Milan 0
- Oct 16 @ Frosinone −2
- Oct 24 @ Como −2
- Oct 27 vs Lazio −4
Against expected,
| a game | attack | defense |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | +0.04 · 39th | +0.72 · 90th |
| Expected goals | −0.01 · 42nd | +0.05 · 60th |
| Shots | +0.2 · 44th | +1.5 · 67th |
| Points | −0.37 · 68th |
Over (+) or under (−) what its opponents usually allow, a game, and where that stands among 96 clubs, the best first. Lit is the top ten or the bottom ten.
Method
- Against the odds is each game’s goal difference less what the closing odds expected, from DraftKings’ closing odds on ESPN’s match pages. A game nobody lined sits out, and a push hasn’t beaten it. Lately is the last 4 games with one.
- Against expected is each game against what the opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.