Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

Lazio @ Napoli

Sun, Nov 8 · Serie A · Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

The odds have it Napoli 1.56, Lazio 1.30.Expected goals from DraftKings’ closing odds on ESPN’s match pages, as of Nov 4. Odds move until kickoff.

Lazio at Napoli: against expected, a game, this season, All games
a gameLazio10 gamesNapoli13 games
+0.79+0.12
−0.59−0.08
−0.19+0.37
−0.09+0.20
−0.5+1.0
−1.6+2.2
+1.29−0.06

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game. Lit is among the ten biggest either way. Tap a row for the games.

Analysis

What’s true going in. Each line says how it stood up; you judge.

Lazio

  • Lazio has won 5 straight on the road, tied for the longest active road winning streak in Europe.streakthe runs →
  • Lazio has won 6 straight.streakthe runs →

The series

  • Napoli leads the series 19–11–8 since 2007-08. Lazio has won 4 straight at Napoli.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • On the road, Lazio’s goal difference are 1.62 over expected in 5 games. A +2.00 difference in goal difference over expected away vs at home is unusual: shuffle which games were away and it comes up 2 times in 100.thinthe split →

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Apr 18, 2026at NapoliLazio 2, Napoli 0
Jan 4, 2026at LazioNapoli 2, Lazio 0
Feb 15, 2025at LazioNapoli 2, Lazio 2
Dec 8, 2024at NapoliLazio 1, Napoli 0
Jan 28, 2024at LazioNapoli 0, Lazio 0
Sep 2, 2023at NapoliLazio 2, Napoli 1
Mar 3, 2023at NapoliLazio 1, Napoli 0
Sep 3, 2022at LazioNapoli 2, Lazio 1
Feb 27, 2022at LazioNapoli 2, Lazio 1
Nov 28, 2021at NapoliNapoli 4, Lazio 0

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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