Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

Osasuna @ Sevilla

Mon, Oct 26, 2026

Sevilla 2, Osasuna 0

Osasuna at Sevilla: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameOsasuna1 gameSevilla1 game
Goals−1.62+0.21
Goals conceded+0.33−1.16
Expected goals−0.68−0.15
Expected goals conceded+0.04−0.62
Shots−2.5+2.8
Shots conceded+3.8−0.9
Points−1.27+1.41

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Sevilla

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Osasuna

  • Osasuna’s expected goals were 0.35 lower vs a top-half team than vs a bottom-half team against expected over its last 75 games, 110th of 110 teams.fact · rankedthe split →This game: 0.56 under expected.

The series

If you squint

  • Against a bottom-half team, Sevilla’s yellow cards were 3.0 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.0 under expected.
  • At home, Sevilla’s shots conceded were 2.3 under expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.7 over expected.
  • Against a top-half team, Osasuna’s goals conceded were 2.59 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.11 under expected.
  • On the road, Osasuna’s goals conceded were 2.00 over expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.11 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 26, 2026at SevillaSevilla 2, Osasuna 0
Apr 26, 2026at OsasunaOsasuna 2, Sevilla 1
Nov 8, 2025at SevillaSevilla 1, Osasuna 0
Apr 24, 2025at OsasunaOsasuna 1, Sevilla 0
Dec 2, 2024at SevillaSevilla 1, Osasuna 1
Jan 28, 2024at SevillaSevilla 1, Osasuna 1
Sep 23, 2023at OsasunaSevilla 0, Osasuna 0
Feb 26, 2023at SevillaOsasuna 3, Sevilla 2
Aug 12, 2022at OsasunaOsasuna 2, Sevilla 1
Feb 5, 2022at OsasunaSevilla 0, Osasuna 0

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 25, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.