Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

Athletic Club @ Osasuna

Sat, Nov 7 · La Liga · El Sadar

The odds have it Osasuna 1.02, Athletic Club 1.45.Expected goals from DraftKings’ closing odds on ESPN’s match pages, as of Nov 4. Odds move until kickoff.

Athletic Club at Osasuna: against expected, a game, this season, All games
a gameAthletic Club10 gamesOsasuna10 games
−0.17−0.60
−0.58+0.58
+0.18−0.16
−0.20+0.05
+1.2−3.6
−2.8+0.3
+0.11−0.30

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game. Lit is among the ten biggest either way. Tap a row for the games.

Analysis

What’s true going in. Each line says how it stood up; you judge.

The series

If you squint

  • At home, Osasuna’s goals conceded are 1.13 under expected in 5 games. A −2.71 difference in goals conceded over expected at home vs away is unusual: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up 3 times in 100.thinthe split →
  • On the road, Athletic Club’s expected goals conceded are 0.44 over expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Apr 21, 2026at Athletic ClubAthletic Club 1, Osasuna 0
Jan 3, 2026at OsasunaOsasuna 1, Athletic Club 1
Mar 30, 2025at Athletic ClubOsasuna 0, Athletic Club 0
Dec 21, 2024at OsasunaAthletic Club 2, Osasuna 1
May 11, 2024at Athletic ClubOsasuna 2, Athletic Club 2
Aug 19, 2023at OsasunaAthletic Club 2, Osasuna 0
May 25, 2023at OsasunaOsasuna 2, Athletic Club 0
Jan 9, 2023at Athletic ClubOsasuna 0, Athletic Club 0
May 15, 2022at Athletic ClubAthletic Club 2, Osasuna 0
Jan 3, 2022at OsasunaAthletic Club 3, Osasuna 1

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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