Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

Venezia @ Genoa

Sun, Oct 25, 2026

Genoa 1, Venezia 0

Venezia at Genoa: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameVenezia1 gameGenoa1 game
Goals−1.51−0.83
Goals conceded−0.36−0.88
Expected goals+0.34−1.47
Expected goals conceded−0.83+0.45
Shots+4.6−9.8
Shots conceded−6.2+6.5
Points−1.46+0.88

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Genoa

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

The series

  • Genoa leads the series 2–1–2 since 2021-22. Genoa has won the last 2.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Genoa had lost 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • Against a bottom-half team, Genoa’s yellow cards were 3.3 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.7 under expected.
  • Venezia had lost 8 of its last 10.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • Against a bottom-half team, Venezia’s shots conceded were 7.4 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 7.4 under expected.
  • On the road, Venezia’s expected goals were 0.32 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.60 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 25, 2026at GenoaGenoa 1, Venezia 0
Feb 17, 2025at GenoaGenoa 2, Venezia 0
Sep 21, 2024at VeneziaVenezia 2, Genoa 0
Feb 20, 2022at VeneziaGenoa 1, Venezia 1
Oct 31, 2021at GenoaGenoa 0, Venezia 0

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 24, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.