Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

Troyes @ Toulouse

Sun, Oct 25, 2026

Toulouse 0, Troyes 0

Troyes at Toulouse: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameTroyes1 gameToulouse1 game
Goals−1.53−1.79
Goals conceded−1.67−1.01
Expected goals−0.94−0.56
Expected goals conceded−0.76−0.77
Shots−5.6−6.0
Shots conceded−7.5−5.5
Points−0.32−0.80

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Troyes

The series

If you squint

  • Against a bottom-half team, Toulouse’s goal difference were 3.37 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.08 under expected.
  • At home, Toulouse’s expected goals were 0.73 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.90 under expected.
  • On the road, Troyes’ yellow cards were 1.3 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.2 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 25, 2026at ToulouseToulouse 0, Troyes 0
Feb 1, 2023at ToulouseToulouse 4, Troyes 1
Aug 14, 2022at TroyesToulouse 3, Troyes 0
Jan 27, 2018at ToulouseToulouse 1, Troyes 0
Sep 9, 2017at TroyesToulouse 0, Troyes 0
May 7, 2016at ToulouseToulouse 1, Troyes 0
Dec 2, 2015at TroyesToulouse 3, Troyes 0
Feb 16, 2013at ToulouseToulouse 2, Troyes 2
Sep 29, 2012at TroyesToulouse 2, Troyes 0
Jan 27, 2007at ToulouseToulouse 1, Troyes 1

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 24, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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